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ChescoWx

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  1. ChescoWx
    We have picked up 1.12" of rain since yesterday morning. With 0.11" since midnight. Some additional showers are possible and continued mild today. The main change to the longer term forecast is a prolonged period of normal to slightly below temperatures for mid to late December with even some wet snow chances toward Saturday morning. Our record high for today is 78 degrees set in 1998. The record low is 1 above zero set in 1926. The daily rain mark is the 2.04" that fell in 1914. Daily snow record is the 8.0" that fell today in 1959.
  2. ChescoWx
    A stretch of unsettled weather starts today with rain and wet snow chances every day through Saturday. Temps start mild but trend colder by Thursday night when we could see some mixing with snow. We should dry out by Saturday afternoon. The record high for today is 73 degrees from 1998. The record low is 8 degrees above zero from 1902. Record rain is the 1.47" in 2013. Record daily snow is the 6.7" that fell today in 1910.
  3. ChescoWx
    Always enjoy posts from our own Larry Cosgrove....still remember his days on Channel 17 (especially during the Blizzard of 1996) his thoughts on the upcoming pattern change and impacts "There are two key drivers to the evolving pattern in North America. One is the building and retrogression of a blocking ridge in Greenland, which looks to shift into Nunavut AR in the third week of this month. The ridge displaces the current Arctic cold pool and 500MB vortex, and forces the chill to stream into coverage to the right of the Continental Divide. Another factor favoring a more wintry look to the lower 48 states is the southern branch jet stream. Aided by an energy/moisture input form the Madden-Julian Oscillation, and already nudging into the American Southwest, the subtropical wind field will contain disturbances that will wear down the heat ridge complex straddling the southern Gulf of Mexico. The initial impulse should bring heavy rain and thunderstorms in the near term in a belt close to Interstate 40 (Oklahoma City OK to Wilmington NC). But the second and third storms will be stronger, tap into colder air next week, and may yank the snow line further south into the Ohio Valley and middle/upper Appalachia by December 15. If model projections of the ridge complex near the Arctic Circle verify, we may see another two storms riding the rim of a very cold air mass over the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. between December16-25. The CFS platform suggests that this configuration will last until about January 8 2023, then give way to what looks to be a very impressive, ten to fourteen day "January Thaw"."
  4. ChescoWx
    A frosty start to the day with teens in the lower spots below 450ft. A sunny Monday - but after that a pretty unsettled week ahead. Mild but wet weather through Thursday then chilling down to normal weather for what looks like an extended stretch. By the time we get to the weekend and into next week we may have some chances of some wintry precipitation. The record high for today is 75 degrees from 2001. Our record low is 10 degrees set back in 1926. The daily rain mark is 3.27" from 1993. The daily snow record was the 8.5" that fell today back in 2003.
  5. ChescoWx
    6z control run still modeling snow but covering more or our region by Saturday AM
  6. ChescoWx
    Looks like the Euro out on it's own with our first significant model snow event of the season for parts of our area. Of course as we all know we don't shovel model snow...this will likely be gone by the 12z run. Start adding these up for the season....vs true shoveling or plowing!!
  7. ChescoWx
    After yesterday's balmy temps and rain we are back to below normal temps but sunny skies for both today and tomorrow. We then warm back up to above normal before potentially cooling down and even a model shows some significant snow in Chester County by week's end. That said there is only one model "The European" that shows any such event. No one should take that as a forecast...just a period to keep an eye on. As I mentioned earlier with the change to more consistent colder weather expect to hear of snow or rumor of snows between now and the end of the month. Our record high for today is 71 degrees from 1998. The record low is 6 above zero from 1940. The daily rain record is 1.54" from 1900. The daily snow record is 10.0" from today in 1957.
  8. ChescoWx
    Rainfall so far is up to 0.28" - rain should end from the west by around noon. Sunny and colder tomorrow before milder again with showers for mid-week before the pattern change to colder looks to take hold by the end of the work week. As that respected meteorologist who shall not be names says....delayed but not denied!! The record high for today is 69 degrees from 1998. Record low is 9 degrees from 1976. Daily rain record is 1.12" from 1905. Daily snow record is the 5.2" that fell today back in 1907.
  9. ChescoWx
    Our roller coaster ride of temps swings will continue through Wednesday before a prolonged period of below normal cold arrives later this upcoming week. Today will be our 2nd below normal day to start the month of December. Tomorrow may be the warmest day for the rest of the year as temps will climb to the mid-50's with showers for many across the county. Chilly again for Sunday and Monday. The record high for today is 65 degrees from 1962. Our record low is 8 degrees from 1976. The daily rain record is 1.13" from 1986. The daily snow record is the 4.5" that fell way back in 1903.
  10. ChescoWx
    I would say this is not a warm look for Christmas Week....
  11. ChescoWx
    We ended November with an average temperature of 47.1 - this is 3.1 degrees above normal. Through the first 13 days of November we were 10.8 degrees above normal so quite the shift for the 2nd half of the month. This was the 16th warmest November since records began back in 1894. So far in 2022 we have had 6 months with above normal temps and 5 months with below normal temps. Looking ahead the last well above normal temperature day looks to be on Saturday...otherwise the well advertised change to colder looks likely through at least mid-December. The record high for today is 70.9 from 2006. The record low is 7 degrees above zero from 1967. Daily rain record is the 1.80" from 1996. Daily snow record is the 0.5" that fell in 1907.
  12. ChescoWx
    Wow has this changed a bit for the December outlook....
  13. ChescoWx
    Light rain is already moving in from SW to NE across Chester County this morning. Showers should be on the increase along with winds gusting to possibly as high as 45mph today. Warm temps today with mid-50's likely. Clearing and much colder tonight with lows in the upper 20's. Our roller coaster of temps will continue with warmer temps again Saturday with more shower chances before colder on Sunday. It looks increasingly likely that a major pattern change is under way with pretty consistent below normal temperatures starting by the middle of next week. The record high for today is 72 degrees set back in 1933. Our record low is 9 degrees from 1976. The daily rain record is 2.51" from 2020. Record daily snow was the 6.0" that fell today back in 1967.
  14. ChescoWx
    October 2022 was the coldest October in 16 years dating back to 2006 for the Northern Mid-Atlantic and the Southeast USA.
  15. ChescoWx
    Excellent read!! great work!!! Thank you!!!
  16. ChescoWx
    Lows this morning were in the frosty upper 20's in the lower spots across the valley with low 30's on the higher ridges. A nice day on tap with temps a little below normal highs for today. Tomorrow looks quite stormy as our active weather pattern continues. Warm with showers and very windy tomorrow with some wind gusts of up to 40 mph possible. Much colder again by Thursday and Friday with below normal temps. There is a small chance of showers on Saturday with maybe some wintry mixed precipitation by Sunday evening across the County. The record high for today is 68 degrees set back in 1991. Our record low is the 10 degree reading from 1930. Daily rain record is 2.84" from 1987. Daily snow record is 3.7" from 1995.
  17. ChescoWx
    We picked up 0.51" of rain yesterday. A cold front crossed the county this morning and we have already seen our high temperature for today at 51.0 at 3:10am. Temps have slowly fallen since sunrise and should steady off in the mid to upper 40's for the rest of today before falling below freezing by tomorrow morning. Shower chances increase again on Wednesday - it will also be our warmest day of the week with temps in the mid-50's. A return to below normal temps will close out the week. The record high for today is 68.5 from 2011. Our record low is 13.0 set in 1955. The daily rain record is 2.01" from 1993. Record snow is the 2.4" that fell back in 1917.
  18. ChescoWx
    Rain looks to overspread the county from SW to NE over the next couple of hours. Rain should fall much of the day before ending this evening. The active weather pattern looks to continue this week with more rain chances on Wednesday and again next Saturday. Temperature wise we will average above normal today and Wednesday but below normal all of the rest of the days this week. The record high for today is 73 degrees from 1896. Our record low is 13 degrees from 1932. The daily rain record is 1.52" from 1944. The snow record is the 4.5" of wet snow that fell 10 years ago today back in 2012.
  19. ChescoWx
    So I went back and checked on records for 134 winter seasons here in Chester County back to the winter of 1888-89. Only 30 times or 22.4% of seasons do we see a below normal December - January - February. Across the last 13 decades we have been very consistent with no significant changes in number of such winters by decade. 1890's (2) / 1900's (3) / 1910's (2) / 1920's (3) / 1930's (2) / 1940's (2) / 1950's (2) / 1960's (3) / 1970's (3) / 1980's (2) / 1990's (2) / 2000's (2) / 2010's (2)
  20. ChescoWx
    We have the same total snowfall forecast....I am smelling consensus!! LOL!!
  21. ChescoWx
    Even outside of a La Nina winter - it has not happened that often - I will have to go back and check on that...
  22. ChescoWx
    A nice day today to get out there a get those Christmas decorations up. Sunny skies with temps slightly above normal in the low 50's. Rain tomorrow by late morning and lasting till Sunday evening. Chillier Monday and Tuesday with more rain chances on Wednesday before a turn to below normal temps by Thursday. The record high for today is 70 degrees set way back in 1896. The record low is also the coldest reading for the month of November at just 5 above zero set today back in 1938. The record rain is 1.52" from 1944 and our record daily snow occurred just 8 years ago with the 5.3" of snow that fell in 2014.
  23. ChescoWx
    We picked up a little light rain with 0.06" in the bucket this morning. We should see skies start to clear with the winds getting a bit gusty out of the WNW. Temps should peak around 50 degrees by early afternoon and that start to slowly fall. Temps tonight should fall to just above freezing except maybe 32 degrees in some of the higher spots in Western Chester County. Beautiful day tomorrow with temps struggling to escape the 40's (normal high for tomorrow is 50 degrees). Rain should start again by late Sunday morning and last into the evening. We could pick up up to 3/4" of rain. The rest of the last week of November and into December looks to see temps right around normal with more rain chances on Wednesday. The record high for today is 74 degrees back in 1979. The record low is 12 degrees set in 1938. Record rainfall was the 2.11" from 1964. Our record daily snowfall was the 6.0" that fell today also back in 1938.
  24. ChescoWx
    If Steve agrees with me....it must be correct - right??
  25. ChescoWx
    Happy Thanksgiving to all of you! After a frosty start, especially in the lower elevation locales this morning... It looks like a great weather day on the menu for today with high temps a little above normal in the mid-50's across the county. It looks like some rain moves in by early tomorrow morning but should be over by 10am. Sun returns by afternoon. More rain on the way for Sunday into Sunday night. After that it looks dry till mid-week with temps averaging a bit below normal on Tuesday. The record high temperature for today is 69 degrees set back in 1979. Our record low is just 10 degrees in 1989. Record rain is the 2.08" that fell in 1950. The record snow is the 5.3" that fell today way back in 1898. That began what would be the all-time snowiest winter season in Chester County history. By the end of that upcoming winter 1898-99 we would see 95.0" of snow. Our 2nd snowiest winter occurred in 2009-10 when we recorded 86.7" of snow.
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