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Juliancolton

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Everything posted by Juliancolton

  1. Juliancolton
    This umbral shadow will be rather small, so as far as eclipses go, totality won't be particularly under clear skies – if you're standing at the centerline, it should still be quite bright around the entire horizon. As a rule, the eclipsed sun's corona is roughly as bright as the full moon. Overcast and a full moon would be navigable if your eyes are well adjusted to the dark, but with the light-switch action of totality, yeah... would be difficult to see.
  2. Juliancolton
    If the College, AK station is really at K = 9, that's some pretty extreme high-lat storming.
  3. Juliancolton
    There were a HSS and secondary glancing CME thrown into the mix as well, so maybe a slighter higher chance than normal of favorable conditions persisting all day. Probably a lost cause, though.
  4. Juliancolton
    The aggregate of modelling from the CME scoreboard has it hitting mid-morning tomorrow local time, which would be pretty abysmal timing but also par for the course the past few years. I'll be checking periodically throughout the night tonight for an early arrival
  5. Juliancolton
    G2 watch in effect starting Sunday from the full-halo CME last night. This is from the STEREO craft situated out ahead of earth so the amount of plasma headed east is misleading, but still, surprisingly impressive event for such a magnetically simple sunspot region.
  6. Juliancolton
    I'd still try to get to totality next month if at all possible. I'm stoked about 2024 being a stone's throw away and a better eclipse in general, but seven years is a long time and ya just never know what the future holds...
  7. Juliancolton
    Tomorrow night is worth watching with the rapid-fire CIR/CH/CME sequence. Hopefully the timing is right and the streams don't just destructively interfere with each other.
  8. Juliancolton
    Forgot about this thread... Every hotel in Santee, SC was completely booked when I checked a few weeks ago. Lodging options are probably pretty well exhausted in most of the path of totality at this point.
  9. Juliancolton
    Coronal holes always become bigger and more numerous during the years leading up to solar minimum. Nothing new as far as I can tell.
  10. Juliancolton
    Wow, that's pretty crazy. I still haven't decided where I'll be setting up shop. Sort of thinking about Lake Marion in SC, since it's a relatively picturesque area for eclipse landscape photos, and probably the easiest drive to anywhere along the totality path.
  11. Juliancolton
    Just one more year!
  12. Juliancolton
    Things got pretty lively for a time on the Sebec Lake webcam. Probably would have been able to pick up some color on camera down here, but I wasn't feelin' it.
  13. Juliancolton
    Good stuff. I put together a WV loop earlier, if anybody's interested.
  14. Juliancolton
    In case anyone still needs to be convinced, here's some incontrovertible evidence for you: https://www.facebook.com/Upworthy/videos/1160303567343833/
  15. Juliancolton
    IMF looks nice. Shame about all the clouds.
  16. Juliancolton
    Was just about to post this. Looks pretty nice as modeled.
  17. Juliancolton
    Camera sees persistent green glow along the horizon, between breaks in the clouds. Should be a good show if we get a substorm close to moonset.
  18. Juliancolton
    Some decent pillars from a webcam in central ME currently. I'm pretty sure this isn't related to the Wednesday CME, but it's interesting to see
  19. Juliancolton
    http://www.sidc.oma.be/products/presto/
  20. Juliancolton
    Looks pretty lopsided. It'll be par for the course with this solar cycle if we manage to miss a CME from this perfectly-placed sunspot group
  21. Juliancolton
    That last M3.7 flare was very long-lived... that's the one to watch out for. Full-halo CME seems quite likely when the Lasco imagery updates.
  22. Juliancolton
    G3 watch posted for November 2 ^
  23. Juliancolton
    Some CH shenanigans on Tuesday night, perhaps. The CIR shockwave should remain underdeveloped until after passing earth, but it's worth keeping an eye on in any event.
  24. Juliancolton
    The good (?) news is that there's nothing going on... 750 km/s of ~1 atom/sqcm solar wind seems like a Yellowknife special. The real dedicated aurora chasers (even as far down as RI) reported about 15 minutes of lights just after dark, but now it's back to the high latitudes.
  25. Juliancolton
    Particle density and the IMF sure got mediocre
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