Juliancolton

I don't know if it's just freeways that count as the main roads, but the state-maintained thoroughfares on this side of the river were definitely in rough shape. Lots of cars in the ditch and stranded halfway up hills, etc. I guess it's to be expected when the first real storm of the season is an overperformer... crews get caught off-guard and people just forget how not to suck. 5.0" now... that would have been safely beyond my "best case scenario" figure if you asked me last night.

Roads are definitely a bit treacherous... at least the ones I've been on so far. About to see what the TSP has in store. 3.7" new at my house. Radar looks good for continued mood snows or better through the balance of the evening, so cheers to that!

I kept looking for banding signatures on the NW side of the system in mesoscale guidance over the past day or so but any signals seemed to be weak... or maybe I'm just not very good at identifying them. Either way, this stuff means business as I'm at 2" now, so rates are well over 1"/hr under this band. I took this closeup of a dendrite a little while ago and thought it was neat how you could see the individual supercooled water droplets that froze on contact. I was worried about the lack of forcing in the low-mid levels but the only effect that seems to be having is preventing the rime from getting significant enough to hamper ratios. Nice event.

Seems like some decent fronto banding going on. It didn't start snowing until about an hour ago but snow growth is good with lots of lightly rimed dendrites so I'm coming up on 1" already.

The 00z high-res NAM would be like 6-7 hours of teeth-pulling rates yielding a general 1-3". Not out of the question for me... the upper level support is fantastic but we may well be in want of low-mid lvl moisture and forcing. Get the lights covered for some festive photos around town and I'll be happy.

This is an excellent looking sounding for moderate to perhaps a period of heavy snow late Saturday afternoon.

You sure it's not too early in the season?

You never got any snow to stick during those two or three mid-November light precip events? I'm at 0.8" on the season which, while meager, means I already lost my first snowfall virginity. I assumed the same was true of most in this thread

Aye, down by the river, vis was about as close to 0 as you'll see. I don't usually mind driving in inclement wx but last night kinda gave me the spooks when you couldn't see tail lights on cars in front of you until you were within maybe 30 ft. Somebody could pull out or stop and you'd have no idea until you were inside their trunk.

The BL never mixed out today. I know it's kind of an esoteric thing to get excited about but I don't believe I've ever seen a cloud inversion lasting all day long in this part of the country. We'd have to get some pretty intense cold or snow this month to objectively out-anomaly today

Yeah, that was some pretty amazing radiation fog for this time of year. The sun angle is so low that even nearly four hours after sunrise, mesoscale analysis still shows the inversion in place so spots could remain foggy for another hour I would think.

Hey @IrishRob17, it's almost time to start our annual initiative educating people about the earliest sunsets being in early Dec.

There's been some speculation that marcescence may actually provide competitive benefits to the tree on a few different levels, including by insulating young growth against extreme cold in the winter and then deterring animals from eating new buds in the spring. Potential snow/ice stress is an issue in the early cold season, but since the tissue connecting the leaves gets progressively more brittle as time goes on, any remaining old leaves will simply get pushed off by the new ones as they unfurl. The bigger concern may be the long-term health of trees subjected to freezes occurring early or abrupt enough to disrupt their normal cycles.

You know, the oceans and the sun cycle. It's caused by... the oceans and the sun. Q.E.D.

Tickling 60 for a couple days in the typical warm areas doesn't really feel like it should count as a torch these days. It's all relative of course and I'm sure the departures are deep enough to qualify, but eh... November is a transition month and we're capable of much warmer, much later.

If you move beyond the local FM station playing Mariah Carey on repeat for two months, there's a wealth of pretty good Christmas music to be found with a little digging. The problem is that it takes some effort to find stuff that isn't just the 100,000th cover of O Holy Night so sometimes it's easier to just turn on the Warren Zevon or ELO and pretend like you're Jewish.

Get out.

That's not a huge difference... they're both up around .9. A verification edge like that probably isn't even discernible without the numerical scores.

Well, a bit over two weeks, anyway.

You can tell that I'm right on the cusp of mixing by how aggregated the flakes are... but as long as it stays snow, that really works in the favor of accums. Sucks that this pleaseant surprise isn't being shared by more across the region.

Boooo. What's your temp? 33 here, about .3" on the board and still falling

Nice ground whitener ongoing. Looks like winter!

Flakes flying on the bitingly cold wind here as well. If winds die down early enough tonight I'll probably make a run at single digits.

Speak for yourself!

That would be a terrible bet regardless of the month. I'd feel good about a sig snowfall though. Make it 4" and I'm in.