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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Because the satellite data over the arctic is terrible. Why do you think we see jumps inside day 5 all the time?
  2. ACY is like 30-31. Is your thermo properly sited?
  3. GEFS were fairly suppressed IMO. But still talking 132hrs out.
  4. S+ at ACY. That is prolly 1-2/hr so I bet a few spots do.
  5. GFS and euro definitely aren't in agreement with the s/w that the euro phases are hr 96 or so at 00z, vs the gfs 12z at hr 84. Hopefully the 12z euro doesn't lose it.
  6. Well a cutter would easily be in the 50s down where you are..maybe near 60 for a day. After, it just depends on storm track. I agree with 40s and 50s, but I think it's more than a few days as you surmised, where you are.
  7. At least I wiped better and pushed it north from 00z and 6z,
  8. Because it was always after 12/10, now after 12/12. I think your assumption of a few 40s and 50s is generous, esp where you are in the tropics.
  9. Canadian made a nice move at 12z. fwiw.
  10. A small shift to the better, but boy there is an unlimited supply of Scooter sh*t stains in Canada, waiting to screw this up.
  11. 3K nam actually looks good for the cape to maybe Diane. Hopefully it works out.
  12. I will also say that now that we are entering the period of relaxation (however you want to take it) we have a cutter, but the period after may be ok especially in the interior. It’s tough to say whether a low goes inland or just offshore, but it’s becoming clearer we can probably eliminate a torch for the northeast. It may be a torch over the border which limits cold influx and cause AN here, but may be ok well inland. Looks like your typical December niño period with warm north, cooler south across the CONUS. Relative to normal.
  13. Good summary. We have a lot of time to sort this out.
  14. Sounds like life is full of excitement up there at Pit2.
  15. It looks like that area south of Tom’s River and especially near ACY could get possibly a few inches. It’s tough to tell exactly since it may stay offshore, but conditions favorable for good snow growth.
  16. Actually Diane has the best chance of a coating with NE winds converging with NW winds right near her Fanny. James may get a flurry as it exits stage right.
  17. Having Ginx say next gives me confidence.
  18. Just rolling around in doggie doo puddles, giggling and splashing each other like an Abercrombie commercial.
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