CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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The block will retro and trough axis shifts west a bit. But it also looked like the NAO would try to stay more negative.
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Yeah but you have to acknowledge the possibility since models from time to time have explicitly showed this. Trust me, nobody is frustrated more than me, but I also see how something 10 days out is a possibility. You can’t just toss it and say too much blocking. It would be more correct to acknowledge that it makes it more difficult based on how the pattern is evolving, but it’s not a 0.0% chance.
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Yeah but you’ve always been negative.
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Can’t lose something so far out, but I would say the signal isn’t too strong. My guess is we wait until this breaks down but in the meantime hope we can muster something up before mid month.
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I guess. Honestly I don’t even care about analyzing anymore. I’m so done with always looking ahead. I’m basically in the mode of not caring unless we are 5 days from something. Nothing like chapped ass cheeks and 40MPH winds for two weeks straight.
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It’s over Johnny.
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Good news is when that happens we develop a -PNA and warm up as the sun angle increases!
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Been the twilight zone since 2022
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What a mundane stretch. Not even that cold. Man winter sucks now.
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I want to live there
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Happy New year!
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18z in a heart beat. Love that violent depiction.
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Lmao it’s warm core
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A little too late but had the idea.
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Well maybe it can work. Improving rapidly:
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I should clarify it does have the idea of the PV moving in, but it may be too positively tilted. Oscillations you’d expect that far out.
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Moving from a whiff to a closer whiff. It also laughs at the 18z bomb.
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Winter rolls on. Buckle up!
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I’d take 70kts+ mixed down over getting a foot easily.
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Ray approves that run.
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Yeah this area did well. Same with retro. I guess my mantra was that I can’t complain about two double digit storms. Well aware of what happened in the MA, but that was so rare that I wasn’t gonna lose sleep over it.
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Considering I’ve yet to have a 4” event since 2022, I’d hold that year tight and kiss it all over.
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These last 3 seasons make 09-10 feeling like 14-15.
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Might be one of these METARS coming soon from KLWM if that happens: KLWM 111551Z 30020G30KT 10SM FEW090 SCT150 BKN210 M09/M12 A2993 RMK FU NW-NE
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Literally N-S flow at 500 out west and the PV sitting on our face.
