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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Like I said earlier, it's the NAM beyond 36 hrs out lol. You have a big block that is just north of New England. It's not going to launch 150miles north at this stage. But I know for those on the line, any subtle shift matters. NAM solution is viable to me though. Definitely in the range of possibilities and I always watch for a shift north from now until go-time.
  2. NAM is precip happy though. I'd keep that in mind. Normally I'd peg the zone of S+ much farther north given mid level track, but strong 850-700 fronto may keep the snow max a little south of where one might expect. I still think nrn MD to far srn PA may be jack for now.
  3. That's a sweet look just north of DC proper. But DC certainly gets it good.
  4. Yeah as the mid level low moves in it cools aloft. Cool sequence there. I'm jelly.
  5. That's sleet at DC proper hr 75. Pull up a soundings. Lose the lift and moisture near the DGZ and it tips. But not after a dumping.
  6. Verbatim DC is close to if not briefly IP, but then after hr 66, VVs near the DGZ seem to help battle the warm layer.
  7. The NAM can still be wonky this far out, but it has a history of sniffing out the warm tongues. At least my experience up here. The warm layer is at like 750mb.
  8. A big 1” and Change here. Been the epicenter of your cosmic dildo last 3 winters. Haven’t had a snowfall much greater than 3” since 2022. Chew on that.
  9. Hopefully the block strengthens and we can wrap in WAA precip from the northeast. Sorry Tamarack.
  10. Well Nina Feb, but maybe this one is different. I honestly don’t know and haven’t looked.
  11. Feb has a risk of being warm. That’s what I hear.
  12. Only worry in the world is if the tide gonna reach my chair.
  13. It’s becoming the best season. No worries about suppression or ptype, just let those southerly breezes take you away. It’s getting warmer anyways so may as well join the party.
  14. Sure, we’ll call it stitch and bitch. I would love that.
  15. It is. It’s the most boring and frustrating pattern you could ask for.
  16. Euro has gotten its mojo back. 6z gfs is south and euro hasn’t budged.
  17. Nobody wants to hear it, but I can’t hate on the look mid month. Looks like a rebuilding ridge in the EPO/WPO region and building Greenland ridge.
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