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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Any clouds formed release some sort of latent heat......it's just that convection obviously is a vigorous process of deep cloud depth formation.
  2. Yes. The process of latent heat release from convection will help with mid level warmth and pump heights up downstream of it.
  3. It's sort of a decaying deformation area due to the meat grinder to the north, but I expect a narrow ribbon of good snow totals in the H7-H5 deformation axis. Seems like PA border might be best bet? Oher interesting thing is that hefty WAA precip there moving towards DC on the GFS. You are playing with fire with the mid level warmth, but that area where it's juuust cold enough in the column could have one of those 6 hr blitz-fest. I'll look a little more later.
  4. I love those products. I haven't looked hard at DC, but always a little concerned of those N trends final 96 hours or so.
  5. Yeah, I don’t disagree. We need a longer sample size too, to really dig into this.
  6. If you loop H5, you can see the flow is so meridional....even at times pealing back to the SSW because of the block. I do see Tippy's point though. In the long run we are screwing things up...but in this case, I think the block is just augmenting this issue. Maybe we have some undertones of CC baked in there.
  7. It's going to be so much colder than last winter by mid month and as of now, likely will have just an inch and change to show for it. More snow at that point last winter. Un-effing-real.
  8. That seems risky if there is a ZR issue. That happened at KBOS. They had 34F and ZR falling. Call me crazy, but the aviation industry might care about that lol. I actually had to let my former team know about that when forecasting. Hey no big deal, it's 34 and snow. Yeah, not really lol.
  9. Wow that's embarrassing. Look at the separation at ORH and BDL lol. And yeah PVD is cold for whatever reason.
  10. Now it’s back but I can hear something sizzling in the distance.
  11. Just knifing through the defense.
  12. I had way more posts in the earlier days. Being mobile also makes it easy too. I don't do FB or twitter really. This is it. I enjoy weather and interacting with the peeps on here. I just phucking hate the last three seasons.
  13. He could cut and slice to the right and left like nobody else.
  14. Looks like it will be OVC150 instead of OVC250. Epicosity.
  15. I remember that storm too. Parts of LI got like 20” in 8 hrs.
  16. Nah 1-3 at least coming on the 6th. Models always overestimate confluence.
  17. It’s location too. This is sort of on the south and west limitations.
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