CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Lame
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Thunder with that stuff
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Like I said earlier, it's the NAM beyond 36 hrs out lol. You have a big block that is just north of New England. It's not going to launch 150miles north at this stage. But I know for those on the line, any subtle shift matters. NAM solution is viable to me though. Definitely in the range of possibilities and I always watch for a shift north from now until go-time.
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NAM is precip happy though. I'd keep that in mind. Normally I'd peg the zone of S+ much farther north given mid level track, but strong 850-700 fronto may keep the snow max a little south of where one might expect. I still think nrn MD to far srn PA may be jack for now.
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That's a sweet look just north of DC proper. But DC certainly gets it good.
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Yeah as the mid level low moves in it cools aloft. Cool sequence there. I'm jelly.
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That's sleet at DC proper hr 75. Pull up a soundings. Lose the lift and moisture near the DGZ and it tips. But not after a dumping.
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Verbatim DC is close to if not briefly IP, but then after hr 66, VVs near the DGZ seem to help battle the warm layer.
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The NAM can still be wonky this far out, but it has a history of sniffing out the warm tongues. At least my experience up here. The warm layer is at like 750mb.
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Nope. Except Brett.
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A big 1” and Change here. Been the epicenter of your cosmic dildo last 3 winters. Haven’t had a snowfall much greater than 3” since 2022. Chew on that.
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Me looking at the models.
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Hopefully the block strengthens and we can wrap in WAA precip from the northeast. Sorry Tamarack.
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Well Nina Feb, but maybe this one is different. I honestly don’t know and haven’t looked.
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It’s not even cold.
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Feb has a risk of being warm. That’s what I hear.
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Only worry in the world is if the tide gonna reach my chair.
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It’s becoming the best season. No worries about suppression or ptype, just let those southerly breezes take you away. It’s getting warmer anyways so may as well join the party.
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Sure, we’ll call it stitch and bitch. I would love that.
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More weenie fodder
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Nice AN stretch so far
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It is. It’s the most boring and frustrating pattern you could ask for.
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Tenor of the season!
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Euro has gotten its mojo back. 6z gfs is south and euro hasn’t budged.
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Nobody wants to hear it, but I can’t hate on the look mid month. Looks like a rebuilding ridge in the EPO/WPO region and building Greenland ridge.
