The NAM can still be wonky this far out, but it has a history of sniffing out the warm tongues. At least my experience up here. The warm layer is at like 750mb.
A big 1” and Change here. Been the epicenter of your cosmic dildo last 3 winters. Haven’t had a snowfall much greater than 3” since 2022. Chew on that.
It’s becoming the best season. No worries about suppression or ptype, just let those southerly breezes take you away. It’s getting warmer anyways so may as well join the party.