CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I’m with Dendrite. I enjoy daylight.
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Could be a nice finale for DC when the mid level lows approach.
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My experience is that these elevated warm tongues even near 0C end up as some sleet especially when you dry out the DGZ. So perhaps for DC….when the DGZ dries out, you could get some sleet or rimed flakes until the mid level lows approach and it cools.
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DC proper may flirt with sleet a bit after 12z Monday but it’s close. A good dumping anyways.
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You have a days it snows fetish.
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What I’ve noticed is that the mean beyond 10 days out has not really shown the fold over ridge and trough by Baja. As we get closer, this features starts to show up. We’ve done well before with the ridge in that place, but that annoying Baja trough really prevents systems to develop in the Gulf and move northeast.
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EPS continues to show that annoying trough feature until the PNA drops. Maybe then we can get something.
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Maybe I will, maybe I won’t? We just don’t know?
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I don’t need you to be a teacher scolding a 7yr old. As someone who enjoys winter And literally has not seen an event over 3+” for 3 years and now with temps conducive since December 1 and has an inch and change to show for it….yeah it’s frustrating. So put me on ignore and deal with it.
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Because I enjoy winter and forecasting. It’s refreshing.
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Try going through 3 years of shut outs and get back to me.
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Lol
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Also the pna will drop. Yes it probably means more storm Chances which I guess is good. But it means some other risks too. Just hope the 11th comes back. I’m just beyond frustrated for 3 years now.
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They’ll be 12” or a bit more nearby.
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At least it’s been fun posting in the MA thread about winter.
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This pattern blows. Absolutely blows. There is nothing worse than cold and dry. Maybe it gets better, but this is terrible.
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Nice thing about this for you guys is that the snow will stay. Good timing for this. Big win.
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At least we get a cutter in a couple of weeks and a warm up for Feb. Patience.
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I still think nrn MD is the jack zone for now although I realize some of the guidance is south. Just going by how these trend and mid level features. We’ll see what 12z does. Either way a solid hit in the DC-BWI metro for sure. There will be a narrow area of 12+ I think.
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No wind here, just another useless winter day. Already notice sunsets later so end is nearing.
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Lame
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Thunder with that stuff
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Like I said earlier, it's the NAM beyond 36 hrs out lol. You have a big block that is just north of New England. It's not going to launch 150miles north at this stage. But I know for those on the line, any subtle shift matters. NAM solution is viable to me though. Definitely in the range of possibilities and I always watch for a shift north from now until go-time.
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NAM is precip happy though. I'd keep that in mind. Normally I'd peg the zone of S+ much farther north given mid level track, but strong 850-700 fronto may keep the snow max a little south of where one might expect. I still think nrn MD to far srn PA may be jack for now.
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That's a sweet look just north of DC proper. But DC certainly gets it good.
