It came a little east but maintained a strong LLJ. Goes nuts here to Maine. Going to be a 2-3hr window for nrn ORH county for anything meaningful verbatim. But the timing on the hi res stuff has varied.
13-14 was good for them with an EPO. They can do it with a more active srn stream and +PNA. But part of the problem with a +PNA for them is if we see a more active nrn stream. That usually skunks them of moisture and can warm them up if it tracks off of NJ. In theory they’d want some serious blocking to help present that.
It has become harder for them to snow as we warm. The Pacific pattern hasn’t helped either recently.
I think it may be tough to scour out the cold there? Truthfully, I'm not totally familiar with the wind climo there. If you can get into the 50s, probably gusts 35-40.