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RitualOfTheTrout

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Everything posted by RitualOfTheTrout

  1. RitualOfTheTrout
    Tomorrow night is going to be brutal. That wind will be blowing the snow around, maybe some borderline ground blizzard conditions. KEY MESSAGE 2... With wind gusts of 20-30 mph and 850mb temperatures falling to near -20 Celsius late Monday, temperatures will drop near zero. Wind chill values have the potential to drop as low as -25F. An Extreme Cold Watch is in effect Monday night into early Tuesday.
  2. RitualOfTheTrout
    I don't think naming winter storms has caught on anywhere outside of the people who work at the weather channel. I don't think I've heard any other media outlets use that name. Sure regionally events gets names that catch on nationally ala snowmagedon. I tend to remember storms based on the year.
  3. RitualOfTheTrout
    Yeah, blocking could have maybe pushed this to another tier, but I can't complain. AO looks to stay strongly negative, while NAO is negative / neutral. Argues for at least a couple more storm chances into Feb as those wax and wane while helping to keep us cold.
  4. RitualOfTheTrout
    Noticed the wind is picking up a little bit and some drifts hanging off the roof. Usually they form on the back of the house, but these are in the front.
  5. RitualOfTheTrout
    Im not sure its transferring earlier, seems to be on track. It will start to lose energy as it transfers, but that's also going to save us from the warm air aloft surging to far north.
  6. RitualOfTheTrout
    There's a pretty robust band in SE OH, assuming it holds together that is probably a couple inches.
  7. RitualOfTheTrout
    Measured around 9.5 just now. Snow ratios definitely lower right now.
  8. RitualOfTheTrout
    The boards did exist then, though I can't recall if it was the old board EasternUSWeather then or not. That storm was what made the detour sign legendary. . It worked again for this one! You are right on the locals being way off. As I recall Dennis Bowman went 6-12 (I remember thinking he wanted to go higher but had pressure to not based on how he was talking about it) but the others all under played it.
  9. RitualOfTheTrout
    Measured about 7 a half hour ago. Still ripping heavy snow.
  10. RitualOfTheTrout
    Sleet has a higher reflectivity on radar, so when watching that in winter storm like this can sometimes hint were the mix is. My guess is as that moves NE it will lessen on radar but actually just mean its all snow
  11. RitualOfTheTrout
    Heavy snow and 11 degrees... Just insane. Didn't expect to have this much on the ground already.
  12. RitualOfTheTrout
    Well we made it, radar is starting to fill in! Think its safe to say: Before we start seeing obs posts, Ill echo what others have said, we have a good group, its been busier in this thread than its been for awhile and a blast watching this take shape!
  13. RitualOfTheTrout
    Surface temperature isn't the problem, but to your point if its to warm at the surface hopefully its to warm in the upper levels too. My gut says NAM is over doing the strength of the primary just a little.
  14. RitualOfTheTrout
    Ill take it!
  15. RitualOfTheTrout
    Depth of this cold is no doubt a variable we don't usually have on our side. It is not usual that places in the lowlands NW of the ridges do better either, that probably has more to do with track of the low.
  16. RitualOfTheTrout
    It is concerning for anyone south east of the city, and will probably reduce ratios just north of that. 3k NAM excels at sniffing out those warm layers more course models might smooth over. Its getting in range too so you can't dismiss it. That being said its probably still useful until at least 12z tomorrow combined with nowcast obs since the sleet threat isn't until tomorrow afternoon. By then the storm will be developed and any NAM over amp tendencies should not be a consideration.
  17. RitualOfTheTrout
    I do sorta feel like a kid before Christmas right now. I've been flying high for a couple days. Really enjoyable when things improve, then hold and you get the days of fun looking at models and all the storm hype in the community etc.
  18. RitualOfTheTrout
    This post seems to be ageing well. Given that, Ill stick to my original call for 16 imby.
  19. RitualOfTheTrout
    3k should be in its wheelhouse tomorrow to start sniffing any warm noses.
  20. RitualOfTheTrout
    That storm next weekend is a legit blizzard. Key for us, assuming its anywhere close to accurate is get that phase to happen much earlier.
  21. RitualOfTheTrout
    Keep em coming!
  22. RitualOfTheTrout
    Yeah, I hate when everything starts melting right after a storm. I mean Ill take a big dog no matter what, but if I could control the weather I'd have a hard time drawing it up much better than what mother nature is providing. Cold before and after the storm for the win with more snow chances too.
  23. RitualOfTheTrout
    NAM looks great for everyone! Hopefully we see the CMC and Euro lose it too.
  24. RitualOfTheTrout
    You talkin about the Pens or this storm?
  25. RitualOfTheTrout
    I'm curious to see how he does in the playoff under the pressure of Edmonton. I don't wish him ill, but his lack of consistency and focus is a killer.
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