RitualOfTheTrout

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 439 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026 OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ013-014-020>022-029-031-073- 075-WVZ001>004-012-021-509-180845- Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH- Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Lawrence-Butler-Beaver- Allegheny-Armstrong-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Fayette-Hancock- Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia- 439 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, southwest Pennsylvania, western Pennsylvania, and northern West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. The chance for snow showers is forecast to ramp up this afternoon mainly for western Pennsylvania and northern West Virginia counties. There is a high probability for getting at least another inch of snow in parts of these areas. Eastern Ohio could see measurable snow from the afternoon showers, however, it is likely to remain under an inch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ Lupo Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 849 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026 OHZ040-041-050-PAZ013-014-020>022-029-073-075-WVZ001-002-171600- Carroll-Columbiana-Jefferson OH-Lawrence-Butler-Beaver-Allegheny- Armstrong-Washington-Westmoreland-Fayette-Hancock-Brooke- Including the cities of Carrollton, Malvern, East Liverpool, Salem, Columbiana, Steubenville, New Castle, Ellwood City, Butler, Aliquippa, Beaver Falls, Ambridge, Monaca, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Kittanning, Ford City, Washington, Canonsburg, Murrysville, Greensburg, New Kensington, Lower Burrell, Latrobe, Monessen, Uniontown, Weirton, Follansbee, and Wellsburg 849 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026 ...SNOW SHOWERS REDUCING VISIBILITY... Scattered snow showers and localized heavy bands of snow will continue this morning. Visibility could briefly be reduced to a quarter of a mile or less in the heaviest snow, with a quick inch or two of accumulation. Additional snow showers and localized heavy bands will be possible through this afternoon. Use caution if traveling. $$

Its dumping heavy snow here again. Gotta love these March snow events. Might make it over 7 inches.

Borderline snow squall rolling through, wind ripping and moderate to heavy snow.

Dang, 5.2, can they hit 6 if a couple of those snow showers hit over night?

I wasn't expecting more than 2 to be honest. I definitely underestimated the rates ability to overcome the warm ground. Glad it hit late day. We still got to have some daylight snow but the sun wasn't a factor.

Same. Just measured 4 on the deck. Its highly variable based on the surface.

Somewhere probably passes 3in on this. Already surpassed my expectations.

It helps it was overcast all day, but also rates and late evening can overcome warm ground.

Ripping heavies here! Wind is gusting too! Pavement and sidewalks caved.

I'm not expecting much accumulation, but I won't be mad if I see some moderate to heavy snow briefly. NWS did mention amounts increased again with 12z, it should help it will be late evening so sun angle won't be a huge impact, it will just need to overcome the warmer ground.

Cover your ears, don't get pulled into that siren song that is 70s in March. Get yourself together, your melting like the Bruins with a 3-0 lead!

Don't get me wrong, the warm temperatures are great, but we have like 8 months of almost 0 chance for meaningful snow, so if a realistic threat window for 6 plus is legit Im all in. 18z GFS was a clown run for January standards let alone mid March.

That's an acceptable March snow right there.

Time it with a big snow storm and Ill take it, otherwise yeah, save it til December. It also looks to be pretty short lived, warmth probably starts rebuilding a few days after. If it falls through I don't think many will be upset.

I mean if you are expecting consecutive days of highs in the 20s and sustained snowpack yeah, not happening. I think the point is after the warm-up there is a window for a storm to coincide with the colder than average temperatures. All you need is it to be just cold enough and get a dynamic storm with heavy snow and it won't matter if the ground is warm, it was 70 the day before, or the sun angle. Is it likely? No. Is it my preferred type of Winter weather? No. However, any forecaster worth an ounce of salt would be remiss to at least not discuss the fact Winter may have one more trick up its sleeve before Spring really sets in.

Yeah. Im in that boat, Ill take nickel and dimers all winter, but now I want heavy snow or Ill pass. I mean I guess if we got 2 inches in one hour I could live with that. Lol

Ill take it. Best time to torch is early march / april imho. That's basically 60s and 70s. Imagine that map in July...

That's not great. My quick look at things, seems like weaker / further south is would be the lean based on 12z. Still plenty of time for that to change though.

Right now I think we are right where we want to be. Some models North, some to the South. Don't really want any more South on that GFS op run though.

Are you sure about that?

The Monday and Tuesday system continues to be a situation to watch as the current trends with this system points to an impactful late winter wet snow impact or potentially heavy rainfall. A further south track will mean all snow expected and a northerly track will make for more of a rainfall threat. Some solutions within the ensembles suggest a northern track where its too far north and precip is much less. Certainly a system that needs some monitoring.

That would suck for sure, but we have seen that outcome many times before. Verbatim it would "try" to be freezing rain, and it might have some impact given it's falling at night around 28-30 degrees at the surface. Once you get to mid-morning though given it will be early March you are looking at mainly rain. The good thing is things have trended South most of the time this season. Several GEFS members are South and all snow. This several days out, so it may just disappear for all we know.

I do think we probably have another 10 days here give or take before it really warms up. Euro still wants one more big cold shot before we warm up too. Should be plenty of time to hit average or above average snow for the season. After mid-March who knows, it may get cold again relatively speaking, but obviously increasingly harder to snow even if it does.

Ah ok, yeah, I think I have browsed there before, it's been a few years.

At the risk of spending even more time on message boards talking about weather, Ill ask, what is this other site?