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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. Looks like it'll end up decently offshore (though there's still snow from the initial overrunning).
  2. Also known as "winter in the NYC metro area". Our slam dunk snow events are few and far between (and need to be cherished).
  3. Even 3 is likely a pipe dream for us. Even 1 seems like a stretch. I'm expecting something similar to what we had yesterday (maybe half an inch of slop).
  4. The ones on the Connecticut coast are likely too warm for SE areas verbatim. I guess it also depends on the trajectory from there, if the orientation of the front is WSW to ENE it's probably fine for most. Either way, it's a trash product.
  5. Every single model has trended towards moving the heaviest precipitation west of us. You're relying on a front to move through and falling temps, and I think you've been doing this long enough to understand that we usually cool slower than forecasted and with lighter precipitation you'll have BL issues even if it's sufficiently cold aloft. If the axis of heaviest precipitation moves back east a bit on models I'll be more confident, but right now I think you're setting yourself up for a major disappointment.
  6. For this weekend's event; Tony is going with the precipitation shield of the RGEM, low and boundary placement of the EURO, and for temps he's going with what models have for Tuesday morning - then he can always adjust snowfall totals upwards if needed.
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