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mob1

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Everything posted by mob1

  1. mob1
    It completely misses us on Saturday, so hopefully it has something on Sunday.
  2. mob1
    I'm pretty sure it's actually closer (both OP and EPS) at 18Z, but either way it still misses.
  3. mob1
    I'm hugging the RGEM so hard that it has difficulty breathing.
  4. mob1
    It is what it is. It's been fairly obvious since this morning that this threat is DOA (but God forbid someone mentions it, they get jumped on like common criminals).
  5. mob1
    Euro OP looks terrible
  6. mob1
    CMC Ooooops, that's 0Z
  7. mob1
    Ridge out west looks better, but it's holding back too much energy and heights out ahead are lower. It could always be a timing thing, but if I was a betting man I would put money that it's not going to be a notable improvement this run.
  8. mob1
    Hopefully we'll get something on the tail end of the cold snap.
  9. mob1
    In the final few frames everything moves NE, it seems like that lakes low acts as a kicker (as opposed some of the crazy GFS runs where it actually phased in and pumped heights out ahead).
  10. mob1
    Has some potential here, though the lead wave robbing some energy plus the base of the trough not being quite neutral yet might shunt the best dynamics east when it matters most.
  11. mob1
    Far far far cry from what it showed yesterday, and as much as it sucks the evolution of this storm actually makes a lot of sense. There's a potent closed low and by looking at H5 without anything else it looks sexy, but by the time the dynamics come into play it's far to late for us (which is often the case) and favors areas well to our NE. On the bright side, even some mood snow would be welcome after the recent warmup.
  12. mob1
    While closed at 500mb and a bit west, the trough is also a bit broader and the shortwave out in front robs the best dynamics. It's largely a whiff.
  13. mob1
    Nice snow shower at my parents house (in Airmont NY)
  14. mob1
  15. mob1
    It's a total whiff but very intriguing aloft
  16. mob1
    Fun look on the Euro in fantasy range. Has a good PNA spike before it collapses a bit due to another shortwave crashing into the PNW (part of the same PAC flow issues we've been dealing with for a few years) but there's all kinds of potential here (verbatim it all comes together well to our NE).
  17. mob1
    Pleasant surprise to wake up to
  18. mob1
    Surprisingly resilient snowpack. Some of the very exposed areas are bare, but the overwhelming majority of streets still have full snowcover.
  19. mob1
    This is probably the next period to highlight
  20. mob1
    I'm in Staten Island (Willowbrook)
  21. mob1
    Finished with 4.4" here and have close to 12" for December. Not bad at all.
  22. mob1
    I'm in Nanuet for this event (thankfully). 24 degrees and light snow falling.
  23. mob1
    HRRR looks beautiful for the second straight run, hopefully we verify just a hair SW of what models depict. Won't take much.
  24. mob1
    It's beautiful
  25. mob1
    Canadian is really good as well.
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