Sey-Mour Snow

CoastalWx will be so happy if the GFS holds it and it snows where CoastalWx lives

Euro trend

Ya I’ve noticed that too, euro trending less intense over us as well

I agree, hopefully we can also get that clipper Super Bowl night to trend north and a bit more amped.

You can clearly see the temps moderate after early next week on the ensembles but still plenty serviceable. Hopefully a return to more seasonable temps brings the snow back with it.

The pattern definitely has potential and it’s cold and dry. However there will be a gradient that sets up. SNE can be on the warmer mix/rain side or seasonably cold and snowier side

Probably down to 8” now. Melted just like your snow melted from the snow you didn’t get Sunday. My post said run of the mill arctic cold snap which is what it will be if 850 temps of -18 verify like the 18z GFS has. The -30 the GFS had a few runs ago would be much higher impact and record breaking. I also did say bitter wind chills with 30 to 40mph winds so not sure where the confusion is, we’ve had several shots of cold air recently this one will be much of the same with a bit more wind this time and hopefully some snow.

The cold this weekend has moderated for the past several runs on GFS. Run of the mill arctic cold snap with a bitter wind chill and 30-40mph winds.

Ya don’t forget that January had a 10 day mini torch with highs 40-50 everyday .. other than that it’s been a very cold Met winter.

Depth is down 4” here down to 9”

I feel like Friday night is about 10% more exciting now, it’s def trending south which should get more qpf albeit meager and more impactful cold .

Can’t wait

Well now we can lock in an early Morch with “moregarbage” on the cold and snow train.

Damn that was quick so much for BDR setting the record, they weren’t supposed to hit 33 today.

Kudos to the cold and dry folks, nailed it.. We wasted 2/3rd of what could have been a very memorable period.. At least we got the one big dog. Next chance of bigger qpf looks to be around Valentines Day, as others have mentioned, hope there will be enough cold around by then.. After Valentines Day, I think most are ready for spring..

ended up getting half that the whole month of February - just a tease, think it verified for NNE though

And many of us didn’t get a warning event .. that was a waste of a good pattern.

Seems like forecasts will bust low in North Carolina

Obviously going to be hard to get a true coastal where we need it with our luck lately, but we will be tracking again very soon when the GFS/EURO tease us with a bomb next Friday, potential is there, can we finally reel a coastal in? 00z GFS was very close and 12z Euro yesterday. Then after that a nice overrunning signal for day 10 and beyond..

3 degrees, tied for lowest temp this season.

about 10 degrees warmer than guidance had it, still havent gotten below 3 degrees this season..

We wait til Feb 4th though 10th period

Actually it’s hanging by the WPC 95th percentile map at 18z a few posts back it seems