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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    EURO has been showing something very close .. GFS is late to the party
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    lol oh GFS…
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS solid for most
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    HRRR shows it Putnam CT to Boston this run.. it will waffle.. instead of 2-3" that screw zone will be half inch to an inch .. Also parts of SW New England may miss out in this event entirely have to watch out for that.. SW Fairfield County in particular
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    It could be anywhere in that area equal chances..
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    You get the idea.. Generally NW of Waterbury and SW of ORH would be the area most at risk to be skunked in between
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    Most likely area to get the shaft is between 91 in CT and RT 2 in Mass.. Most guidance has it redeveloping nicely around ORH and points NE...
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Didn’t have time to dig deep in to the whole NE. Going with 1-3” for everyone for now, except less along immediate shore with warmer boundary layer. Will tweak tomorrow.
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    Please do
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya i was just thinking the last 60 hours.. That one was easy..
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    Lol ya that too! I was thinking last Sunday storm
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    Yes, although last storm I feel like was the easiest forecast ever..
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS and EURO are worlds apart.. Euro now colder than GFS, GFS torches us on Wednesday 40-45.. Pretty frustrating differences. .GFS mostly misses with the main band, then swings the trough through later Tuesday into Wednesday but it's pretty warm by then..
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    Yup RRFS has now joined the NAM rankings .. although seems like every model is flip flopping around with this one .. I think you just paint a 1-3” across all the northeast and see what happens lol
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    Your high was 31 today with a dry NW flow... There is potential for upper 30s and low 40s late Tuesday and Wednesday. The GFS is much colder than EURO , let's hope the colder trends continue and that we max out 32-36 instead..
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS is colder again, would like to keep that trend going .. euro is like 5 degrees warmer Tuesday afternoon and 10 degrees warmer Tuesday night
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    18z AIGFS also a good bump SW.
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Woof.. GFS with the same big jump SW as ICON and RRFS .. has some currier and ives type stuff late Tuesday into Wednesday.
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    RGEM went a tad north.. Guidance diverging a bit .. still 72 hours out ..
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    Icon is weird.. Shafts everyone NW of SWCT on Tuesday then gets everyone that missed out Tuesday overnight Tuesday into Christmas Eve with 1-3"
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    I kind of agree with Taunton on this one.. We are going to need 2"+ to have any chance at a White Christmas. Temps look to stay between 33-38 across SNE for about 30 hours between 15z Tuesday and 21z Wednesday, before tanking Wednesday after sunset. Anything under an inch will probably melt.
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    LOL the replacement for NAM and HRRR: RRFS is a toaster bath for most of this forum.. It ticked SW another 35 miles from 12z.. It has 1-3" for SWCT down to central jersey and shutouts everyone else.. RRFS did really good with the last storm, so it has my attention.. It will have to earn our respect though..
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Just wait for the 18z gfs and euro to bring you and TauntonMeh back..
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    @Typhoon Tip
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