Thump turning later and lighter especially for SW half of state, and mid level warming still on track for 9-11pm.. Further NE you go the better which is typical , just more so in this case
Sick of the head fakes, if we get several runs in a row like this and on Sunday we still look good, we can let the weenies back out, until then we Nancy
Yes we’ve seen plenty of sub 985 lows cutting into Albany and know what happens south of there. If the secondary can pop early enough and stay south of CT then it’ll be close..
It’s also not a frigid airmass temps will be between 30-32.. the classic damaging ice storms have temps in the low to mid 20s then max out in the upper 20s with temps crashing after. This one temps will be just below freezing during the peak freezing rain then climb above freezing melting the ice before the winds later Sunday. Temps will stay below freezing if you are near and north of Rt 2 but by that latitude there will be more sleet.
EURO a near miss, phase too far NE , as it moves SE of BM, light to moderate hit still.. Warnings snow SE areas, Runnaway special.. Absolute bomb but too late for us for the real goods
That map will verify pretty well for New England from 2/2 to 2/17 .. Just not the excessive high end amounts we all envisioned , only place that may come up just short is in between rt 2 and rt 84.. Just happened to verify as 6 light snow events
RGEM is a touch colder for you guys for the "Thump" but warms quicker and is warmer on Sunday gets the city into the mid 50s and south CT into mid 40s..