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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya gfs has been so consistent . Would be awesome for it to score a coup
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ok not bad just loaded for me
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Hot as in rain ☔️ ? I’m only out to 39
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    00z Super cold at surface not much precip compared to globals and obviously well south. Just another option on the table, if mesos hold the southern course then it’s going to be a load bath tomorrow to see what wins out. for Also no wind to speak of on NAM
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    That’s 18z
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    EPS loves the Pike
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    Timing with this also correlates to the warmth and lesser totals south.. Timing really moving up again on EURO ..
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    HA true!
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    It feels horribly wrong but it's 100% true with this storm.. EURO has been jumpy all season so it's no surprise.. Funny I might owe an apology to the ICON if it's ends up right.. 18z EURO a lot closer to ICON than any other guidance is..
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    Some are delusional with beer. The EURO (aka the new NAM) has ticked 100 miles north today in 2 runs .. We will just follow GFS which seems to be more stable .. Stay the course for now, EURO simply can't be trusted check out the run to run consistency at every layer just putrid..
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    congrats albany that was an awful run for CT now many see where the worry comes, back to back warm bumps on EURO 12z and 18z
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    18z euro is an example of the worry for southeners lmao
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    First call … 65% chance we bump the 6” line up to 84 and a 35% chance we bump it down to immediate shoreline.
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya I don’t think people realize how borderline this is for south ct temps like 33-34 with 700mb flirting with freezing.
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    GEFS with another good bump nw.. south ct crew with toasters on stand bye
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    Wait another cycle and it will be somewhere totally different . Last run 700mv low was in central Jersey . Could either go back south or end up over BDL next run
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya would be interesting I think we can get close to blizzard criteria for immediate shore . Should be quite the scene Tuesday with heavy wet snow 35-45 mph wind for coasts and almost low dark visibility .
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    Would be a widespread outage for southern ct verbatim 12” of snow at 33 degrees
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Wild loaded look for Presidents’ Day
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Box going 4-10” with wind for the watch . Upton going 6-10” most in hills. Power outages will be a major issue with wind and on the southern extent of significant snow.
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya they are nice
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    If anyone wanted to know what EURO was going to do post day 10 take a look at the control run for sh*ts and giggles.. Some wild solutions are likely in the 10-15 day timeframe
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    Mid level tracks are the reason not qpf
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    EURO has been so damn jumpy unlike GFS for a change.. Last run that was shifted 150 miles SW
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    Not about jacking, the further north it is the more mixing for southern 3rd of CT, you are just far enough north to be pretty solid no matter what unless this just goes wagons north..
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