Nice trend at 00z, looks like every piece of guidance ticked back warmer again at 6z.. Euro primary actually went south of SNE at 00z, 6z cuts through SNE
Ya you will be better than me in keeping the cold pack. Hope to cool things down more. My pack is looking nice, all these little events piling up it looks and feels like deep winter for a change.
We’ve had other storms mixed in, much of SNE has 6-12” since Feb 2nd . Our area 8-10”.. The snowy period on ensembles was Feb 2nd-Feb 17.. we have another 2-4” before Feb 17. Which will bring most of southern New England to 8-16”. Again not what we wanted but not a complete bust.. we hit the 15-20th percentile of what was possible.
It was this week, we will end up getting 8-16” statewide from all the waves. Instead of 12-24”.. still not awful but the low end verified instead of the mean or 75th percentile
I’m not writing it off til Sunday / Monday unless things turn drastically worse. Still very close, it’s obviously a tedious setup now with the needed TPV phase but there’s still a chance.
Weeklies are cold, below normal right through March ( well below normal Feb 17-27). Maintain east coast trough west coast ridge through first week of March. Looks dry first week of March , other than that very active.