Sey-Mour Snow

It was warm on 00z, 6z skynet was better though. Guidance definitely saw something last night as everything including ensembles went warmer with less snow. Hopefully that reverts back to 12z yesterday today

Easy fix. Just made a thread so the 5 people interested can discuss there and leave this one open to discuss the rain next week. (Just trolling) Just need to move that boundary back south as 00z on guidance was too far north for most.

Not much to say on this one. Just a place for the 5 of us that might see some snow to discuss without pissing everyone else off in the main thread. Has a chance to be the biggest Feb snowfall for this area. Main thing we want is for the northern stream to slow down to allow earlier phasing closer to the coast. The trend has been to bring meaningful precip to just south of 84 on most guidance. Here’s the latest 6z guidance another tic north on euro, as well as all other guidance, euro AIFS did tic back south however.

Btw my wife just realized there is a Worcester Mass - the way she just tried to pronounce it lmao

What’s Tuesday?

Been texting you didn’t even think to go on here bc it’s mostly a nyc metro threat as of now

EURO/AIFS bring accumulating snow Sunday night to south shore , that was a huge jump on both models

Pretty sick hour on radar. animated.mov

I have zero recollection of this. I remember 06 pretty well.

Got this from @growingwisdom on twitter. What I find most interesting besides being the coldest 75 day start to winter in Boston since 93-94 is it’s colder than every 80s winter besides 81 and on par with 82. I thought the 80s were much colder, I have no recollection as I was born in 85.

I can see it now 18z gfs is a bit closer then 18z AIFS and euro show a region wide 15-30” just for it to be gone on all guidance at 00z and this verifies as a shredded non phasing POS .

Well it’s looking more and more likely my 4 days of 45-65 won’t pan out next week. If it means more snow I’m game.

Energy over Michigan dives south this run that makes the difference , probably can just toss this run

lol AIFS brought back the snowstorm light to moderate hit south coast

He’s about to get a good squall

Average depth here held solid at 10-12” this morning. The glaze of ice probably protected the melt off today.

Intense line of squalls dropping south from mass into NWCT

What’s up with the AIFS, it’s so damn snowy. 4-6” mean Monday then another several inches the following 10 day. As a 12-18” total mean for all of New England about the highest all year.

wow 10 members 20"+ at 10:1

Sunday into Monday

For shits and giggles the 12 and 18" odds on eps and aifs ens are relatively high for 5 days out like 10-20% so there are some really big hitters .. hopefully the threat continues for 12z..

it is 00z had it, need to slow down the departing cold air tap north of us which is possible as of now it's not likely that it all happens perfectly, again it's all thread the needle..

Need some High Pressure over Quebec rather than a low, compare the colder 00z to 6z..

damn thought you'd do better based on radar when you were sleeping.. everything is a sheet of ice here about .1" ice and there is a salt shortage in the area, main roads are fine but lots and side roads are a disaster, schools all delayed , some should be closed..

00z is a better setup to draw in the cold, 6z was worse synoptically which torched us.. I guess I could see a thread the needle but it's very low odds, bc we just don't need a NW trend, we also need a cold tap with a shitty airmass in place