It's not over, 6z GFS moved back NW for a clip/fringe, EURO AI a solid tic NW gets warning snow to most of ENE, EURO with a laughable amp up at 6z and way NW , fringes ENE now with a monster..
Amped doesn’t have to mean tucked in. It’s a more impactful storm at 18z just misses and is slightly east from 12z.. I’m more worried about euro still not biting .. However, every model has a powerful storm that bombs from the Delmarva to somewhere around the benchmark besides the euro so we do have that.
Ya there’s been a few this year, had that 40-80” run in the Ohio valley to SNE a month ago. Last year in mid Feb we had a lot of weenie runs when the ensembles were spitting out 20-30” means at 10:1 over the entire northeast
Ya this is the one. They were closer to normal than I thought with places well south of the city actually below normal like the Norfolk to Baltimore area.
Massive KU, just get it to phase 6 hours earlier , signal has been there but we have a problem getting these signals to hold . Seems like the AI models love to hold a signal in the 8-12 day range then lose it and never bring it back. This one is within day 8..