Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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Looks like gfs , hopefully just a blip. if it caves to gfs at 12z I’m so done with that model -
Euro snow maps look nice .. Nice storm track.. But man that's close to all rain on a benchmark track for many .. Cold never really pours in like yesterday's runs
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Ya you look golden. Just hope the rug doesn’t get pulled on this one for you guys. Not expecting much if any here as latitude is killing us again this year unfortunately..
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Ya those eps probs can waffle dramatically .. tomorrow at this time if it shows the same for your area I’d be pretty excited..
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Will hopefully get an idea tomorrow morning on what we are dealing with and where the tics might go. Until then it’s just noise.. right now I’d love to be in berks and northern orh hills for this one. Many ways to get it done from those spots.
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To post on social media and hype why else? On a serious note a good first call range would be 25th to 75th percentile on EPS on say the 12z run if it’s consistent next 3 cycles..
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Ya like I said earlier we want SE ticks now . No more north ticks ..
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24 hour images don’t account for all the members and their timing differences for the entire duration of the storm.
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That’s not the whole storm you need two day to show that here’s storm total plus 50th percentile . Much juicier plus a 50 mile shift north
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Lol just saw that, 1-2' plus of snow during the worst look of winter at 500mb .. that's how you run a torch, seems like GFS leading the charge in that pattern ..
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Damn that would be impressive .. Take ORH for example temps in the mid to upper 30s as precip starts Sunday evening, changes to snow .. temps tank 15 degrees Monday morning, flash freeze with 6"+ of snow and temps in the teens Monday with some blowing and drifting powder on the 3" of paste ..
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ya I was saying this, the first half of the storm is inside day 4 for tonights runs .. miss the days when euro day 3.5 was the truth
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True the WCB definitely dies out before us in New England .. Just tired here of the constant last minute push NW that takes us out of the goods
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Well ya it's just the dying WCB and then the CCB starts so it looks funny.. But I love the look of the end/colder part of the storm .. kevins days and days
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A bump SE would be great
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Oh wow now I see it, weird precip shield, best definitely SW rays favorite LBSW.. Northern Jersey SE NY and E PA gets crushed
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EURO looks like it may be very interesting at 108
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Looks like euro will cave completely to gfs for Fridays highs. Looks cold Friday highs may stay below 40 for all of New England. The real torch is Thursday now with mid 50s likely for most of SNE.
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+.4” 6.5” of STDs
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Not sold at all either.. But it's a threat on the board and a reason to eagerly look at 12z guidance today waiting for our 6 hourly dose of endorphins to hit lol
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Just took a look at the 6z eps def amped up quite a bit from 00z.. Here's the 50th percentile .. 90th percentile would imply an 8-12" ceiling so def a big improvement from 00z.. let's see if we can get that to continue .
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
That guys loves posting those stats, it's been old for a while, I think we all understand that we've been warming for a while.. Let's talk about something interesting for a change .. -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
6z gefs was nice in long weenie range -
Really no room to ramp this up.. No impressive members.. Thread the needle 3-6" type storm in a narrow strip for the max zone it seems ..
