Sey-Mour Snow
-
Posts
5,879 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
-
Ya I get it. We literally just said the same thing about Saturdays signal now look at it. Storm very likely yes? Yes precip type will be a concern. Also track does it end up congrats Delmarva , congrats SNE or NNE? Also the tendency has been to weaken the signal on approach. -
ZERO continuity with ensembles or op runs.. We will know more by Monday (sarcasm).. There's no reason to take any model seriously until all models have the same idea for at least 2 runs in a row..
-
I wouldn’t feel good anywhere with zero model continuity.
-
No sorry that was the 50th percentile and the mean each for 12z. The 50th percentile at 12z is much less than the mean, meaning that there are some snowy outliers skewing the mean.
-
Here’s 00z
-
Mean is way down from 00z.. gfs last to the party again.
-
I’ll pass on the shaking hands but sure let’s move it east a bit ..
-
I've been noticing that, annoyingly weird seems like most of the lows the models are spinning up are like that .
-
Maybe the euro is broken and they should just re run it at 12z and see what solution it spits out this time?
-
Fixed it lol
-
Last pile just melted from last week.
-
pouring salt in the SNE weenie wounds lol
-
And the steady EPS starts it Saturday morning so we are on day 5.5 from tonights runs.. Plenty of time for shifts, but also very reasonable to track storms 5-6 days out.. Tip and Brooklyn have been all over this one
-
Eps with a solid push east need another one. Still day 7-8 though.
-
Ya I know nice rain storm on the control next weekend for us.
-
Been a horrible bust down here for HRRR, can’t be trusted with its epic fails the last two storms, it’s steady with weenie solutions for several runs then trends towards globals last few runs before go time.
-
Snow sleet here since 7:30pm … 75% sleet all roads covered 34.5.
-
Damn old school maps haven’t seen those in awhile. congrats Dakotas on 18z gfs. Going to be a lot of waffling until Monday probably..
-
Here’s the GEFS 500mb anomaly 5 day mean from the 10th to 15th … pretty impressive.
-
Meh .. There's always one better.. We've had clown maps with 60-80" over the entire Northeast
-
GEFS mean track and snow axis looks good at this range.. To me this means there is just as good a chance for a coastal as there is for an inland runner.
-
Need another 30-50” in some spots not happening james
-
Euro was late to the party with this. Gfs was first to catch on and have a cutter. However it was then too cold. Euro has been better the last few days.
-
Enjoy the rain CT. 99% of CT will be above freezing for the duration of this. Not much to be excited about. We wait til next weekend.
