Interesting … looking at “Tips Threat” on 1/14 on the EPS. Most members are offshore or in favorable position , however if you look at the individual snow output most favor CNE and NNE. Something to keep an eye on as we draw closer.
The 9th is a minimal coastal signal not on ensembles more on the ops. The two threats on GEFS are the 11th and 14th. The 11th is the threat the gfs op just blew up, the 14th is the threat that has been showing up on ensembles for a while.
Oh hell ya he is we all are that was a horrendous overnight run of all 3 ensembles. We have to revert back to yesterdays runs today. Unreal winter with the west coast trough persistence.
What does the major thaw being in early January instead of late January do to your forecast? You stated cold and stormy early and thaw late. But we most likely thaw Jan 1-5/6.