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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    Sure…I’m just talking in the sense that sometimes good patterns don’t deliver and bad patterns (not saying this was necessarily bad) do.
  2. dendrite
    W flow and some sun…850s are relatively warm to start with CAA. I could see 38-43 W to E with midday highs.
  3. dendrite
    It’s been around a B here maybe…been hanging around a 16-17” pack since the biggie. Pack since 12/2 is good, but nothing absurd like some winters. I think the extent of deep pack further south has been more anomalous even though I haven’t seen grass in 10 weeks. Persistent cold, but nothing extreme. A steady as she goes deep winter. Although I’m ready for a Pedro changeup with some days of warmth and big event threats.
  4. dendrite
    I do have to laugh how he gets on you in the Pats thread, but you have to hold him up in here.
  5. dendrite
    I think most people outside of North Cumberland RI have enjoyed this winter…or at least a good portion of it. There’s been a little taste of everything wintry wise with little rain.
  6. dendrite
    You’re stating the obvious. Events happen, I get it…you can’t cherry pick and subtract them out. I’m just playing the parallel universe hypothetical game. My point is that it’s tough to pull something that big and widespread in the middle of -10s anomalies. It can happen (miller B etc) but usually that spells clippers or cold and dry.
  7. dendrite
    We’re going to have a big CC discussion on Friday the 13th when Wolfie leaves for Frenchy ville.
  8. dendrite
    I said it the other day, but you could look at it like we were a little lucky with that roided SWFE too. It’s tough to pull something like that off in the midst of 2-3 weeks of -10 anomalies without any relaxation at the sfc. That was a Jose Canseco needled up wedge of surface cold with big overrunning over it. But if that had missed south people would be losing their minds right now. A 20” event and deep pack for weeks definitely changes the mindset.
  9. dendrite
    35°? ASH runs a couple warm too.
  10. dendrite
    There’s no snow reports in PA right now…all RH is below 70%.
  11. dendrite
    3k is pretty horrible south of here. Maybe an inch at MHT.
  12. dendrite
    3k definitely looking convective along the cold front in SNE. Maybe in and out in 1-2hrs?
  13. dendrite
    I think it’s juicing up for SE MA late as the front picks up a little more moisture off the Atlantic before pushing through. So maybe more of a SE MA enhancement than an interior MA dry sliver? Not saying it’s correct…just guessing what it’s doing.
  14. dendrite
    Anyone ever dabble in the ASOS temp betting?
  15. dendrite
    Good luck expecting every event to bust positive. Like Scoot said…hope to get a little from the initial arm of WAA and then go to town briefly with the line dropping SE to finish.
  16. dendrite
    Yeah idk…no need to overthink it. A model being on its own this close in usually doesn’t cause you to exude confidence in it. I was just using his own words against him. It’s pretty easy to find him contradicting himself.
  17. dendrite
  18. dendrite
    There’s a sideswiping H7 dryslot behind it too…may be helping with the forcing
  19. dendrite
    Could be some ptype issues in the bottom half of CT too. Kinda on the edge, but if it gets convective as the front approaches it could be one of those graupel/snow pellet to snow before ending deals.
  20. dendrite
    For you? Nah. 1-2”…maybe a lucky 3”
  21. dendrite
  22. dendrite
    GFS = Glue Factory System? But kidding aside I think we all know that’s a pipedream in Feb…although you can’t rule out a semi warm day in there.
  23. dendrite
    Looks like a few good hits, but I wouldn’t call that “lots”
  24. dendrite
    CMC models are on an island
  25. dendrite
    6z gfs takes it to cuba and then the yucatan. lol I can’t recall a model doing anything like that with an ULL before
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