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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    I think it’s juicing up for SE MA late as the front picks up a little more moisture off the Atlantic before pushing through. So maybe more of a SE MA enhancement than an interior MA dry sliver? Not saying it’s correct…just guessing what it’s doing.
  2. dendrite
    Anyone ever dabble in the ASOS temp betting?
  3. dendrite
    Good luck expecting every event to bust positive. Like Scoot said…hope to get a little from the initial arm of WAA and then go to town briefly with the line dropping SE to finish.
  4. dendrite
    Yeah idk…no need to overthink it. A model being on its own this close in usually doesn’t cause you to exude confidence in it. I was just using his own words against him. It’s pretty easy to find him contradicting himself.
  5. dendrite
  6. dendrite
    There’s a sideswiping H7 dryslot behind it too…may be helping with the forcing
  7. dendrite
    Could be some ptype issues in the bottom half of CT too. Kinda on the edge, but if it gets convective as the front approaches it could be one of those graupel/snow pellet to snow before ending deals.
  8. dendrite
    For you? Nah. 1-2”…maybe a lucky 3”
  9. dendrite
  10. dendrite
    GFS = Glue Factory System? But kidding aside I think we all know that’s a pipedream in Feb…although you can’t rule out a semi warm day in there.
  11. dendrite
    Looks like a few good hits, but I wouldn’t call that “lots”
  12. dendrite
    CMC models are on an island
  13. dendrite
    6z gfs takes it to cuba and then the yucatan. lol I can’t recall a model doing anything like that with an ULL before
  14. dendrite
    HRRR modeled snowfall
  15. dendrite
    I still think this is a little precarious of a setup south of the Pike, but we’ll see how it goes. The leading edge WAA precip is a little too far north and then you’re relying on the mid level cold front delivering…there’s a little low level dry air to start too. It may end up like a wild 1-2 hour line of snow with mixed graupel initially.
  16. dendrite
    HRRR is almost a half inch of liquid here.
  17. dendrite
    I had birch seeds blow onto my fresh snow…need to cover that up.
  18. dendrite
    Anyway I’m just busting you in the dead zone. Let’s juice this system up more at 00z
  19. dendrite
  20. dendrite
    Cold run…tenor Warm run…glue
  21. dendrite
    Go to bed
  22. dendrite
    But yeah…usually being south of the low in the “warm” sector doesn’t pan out well, but there’s been a couple of these now that have been able to buck the trend with some moisture advection with the southerly flow while staying cold enough to snow ahead of the cold fropa.
  23. dendrite
    It was more a response to Wolfie’s 50th glue factory post since the start of the year.
  24. dendrite
    Euro was the correct model with pushing the core of the last arctic shot to our west.
  25. dendrite
    Bad start for da charts
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