SACRUS
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Posts posted by SACRUS
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On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:
2020:
PHL: 34 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 21 ; Aug: 8; Sep: ; Oct: )
EWR: 30 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 8 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TTN: 27 (April:0 ; May: 0; June: 4; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 6; Sep: ; Oct: )
LGA: 33 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 9; Sep: ; Oct: )
ACY: 28 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 7 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TEB: 25 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 7 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
NYC: 19 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 3 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
JFK: 12 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 11 ; Aug: 1 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
ISP: 7 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 6 ; Aug:1 ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 289(April:0 , May: , June: 4, July: 16; Aug: 9 ;Sep: ; Oct :)
BLM: 2789 degree days;
New Brnswick: 9
ACY: 3
TEB: 8
LGA: 7
TTN: 4
EWR: 3
PHL: 4
BLM: 6
JFK:2
NYC: 3
ISP: 2-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8/25
LGAL 93
EWR: 92
JFK: 92
ACY: 91
ISP: 91
BLM: 91
PHL: 91
TEB: 90
New Brnswck: 90
TTN: 89
NYC: 89
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84/70. Sunny and warm. More 90s today likely ahead of the cold front / storms. Northerly flow Wed keeps the heat away for 12 - 18 hours before hot SW flow returns on Thu and brings in stronger 95(=) heat potential and maybe some record highs - well modeled in advance. With Laura nowlikely further south and west and remnants not impacting the EC till later Fri night/ Sat, Fri should see low to mid 90s as well. Outside chance if Laura stays well south that Saturday is sneaky warm.
Cool down Sun (8/30) - Tue (9/1) before we warm things up Wed (9/2). The next shot at 90s looks like a 1 - 2 day window the middle/end of next week 9/3 - 9/5.
Longer range ridging looks to setup along the EC towards mid month.
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Labor Day tropical risk shofts to the EC
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8/24
LGA: 93
EWR: 93
ACY: 92
TEB: 92
PHL: 91
New Brnswck: 91
NYC: 90
BLM: 90
TTN: 90
ISP: 88
JFK: 88 -
On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:
2020:
PHL: 33 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 21 ; Aug: 7; Sep: ; Oct: )
EWR: 29 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 7 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TTN: 27 (April:0 ; May: 0; June: 4; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 6; Sep: ; Oct: )
LGA: 32 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 8; Sep: ; Oct: )
ACY: 27 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 6 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TEB: 24 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 6 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
NYC: 19 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 3 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
JFK: 11 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 11 ; Aug: ; Sep: ; Oct: )
ISP: 6 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 6 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 28 (April:0 , May: , June: 4, July: 16; Aug: 8 ;Sep: ; Oct :)
BLM: 2689 degree days;
New Brnswick: 9
ACY: 3
TEB: 8
LGA: 7
TTN: 3
EWR: 3
PHL: 4
BLM: 6
JFK:2
NYC: 2
ISP: 2-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8/24
LGA: 93
EWR: 93
ACY: 92
TEB: 92
PHL: 91
New Brnswck: 91
NYC: 90
BLM: 90
TTN: 90
ISP: 88
JFK: 88-
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6 minutes ago, forkyfork said:
the euro shifted north thursday and has 95+ potential again
and Fri pending on timing of Laura's clouds/remnants? Did it back down on 850's 00z or 06z runs? >16c Thu peaking >18c between Thu 18z and 18Z friday
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2PM Roundup
TEB: 91
ACY: 91
EWR: 90
New Brnswck: 90
BLM: 89
NYC: 89
LGA: 89
TTN: 88
ISP: 87
JFK: 87
PHL: 87 -
Storms fring in E PA
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Noon Roundup
LGA: 88
New Brnswck: 88
ACY: 87
TEB: 87
NYC: 86
BLM: 86
EWR: 86
ISP: 85
JFK: 85
PHL: 84
TTN: 84
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11AM Roundup
EWR: 85
ACY: 85
LGA: 85
New Brnswck: 85
TEB: 85
ISP: 84
BLM: 84
TTN: 83
JFK: 83
PHL: 82
NYC: 82 -
79/ 69 here. Hot late summer next 36 hours with 90s possible outside of any storms/clouds that may form which are likely later today and Tuesday. Strong north/ NE flow 12 - 18 hours Wednesday gives a brief reprieve from the late summer warmth before stronger heat returns Thu and Fri (pending on remnants of Laura). Overnight models, epsecially the ECM now have the remnants of Laura later Fri (overnight) into Sat. Either way warm and humid this week next 4 of 5 days with thunderstorm potential.
The upcoming weekend will see cooler air in the wake of Laura's remnants later Saturday and Sunday (8/30) and continue a day or so before return SW flow brings more warmth 9/2. We'll see the timing for Labor Day weekend way out there but looks like a few days warmth followed by brief cool downs 9/2 - 9/7. Ridging may dig into the EC beyond there for a period in early/mid next month.
Next tropical threat could be an East coast one by labor day weekend.
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8/23
New Brnswck: 88
TEB: 87
LGA: 87
EWR: 87
NYC: 86
TTN: 85
PHL: 84
ACY: 84
BLM: 84
JFK: 83
ISP: 82 -
Made it up to 88 before cluds worked in about 30 minutes ago. Now down to 83. Storms near TTN slowly moving NE.
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Larger area or cluster of storms forming in South NJ. See where they go.
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78/73 here humid and mostly cloudy. Southerly flow bringing the humidity and some showers. Clouds and showers moving through should allow for partly sunny conditions this afternoon. We'll see how much we can warm things once we clear out. Mon - Tue more warmth with 90s again in the warmer spots. Wed (8/26) more of a Northerly flow and a brief 12 - 18 hour cooldown before stronger heat arrives Thu (8/27) and perhaps Friday or part of Friday (8/28) ahead of remnants of Laura.
Sat (8/30) - Tue (9/1) cooler ahead of more warmth. Looking in the way beyond looks a bit back and forth the opening week of the month before a more sustained warmth towards the second week. I think we will have a better handle with guidance once we resolve Marco and Laura's remnants.
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8/22
LGA: 92
EWR: 92
New Brnswck: 91
BLM: 89
TEB: 89
NYC: 88
TTN: 88
PHL: 87
ISP: 86
JFK: 86
ACY: 86 -
On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:
2020:
PHL: 32 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 21 ; Aug: 6; Sep: ; Oct: )
EWR: 28 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 6 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TTN: 26 (April:0 ; May: 0; June: 4; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 5; Sep: ; Oct: )
LGA: 31 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 19 ; Aug: 7; Sep: ; Oct: )
ACY: 26 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
TEB: 23 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
NYC: 18 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 2 ; Sep: ; Oct: )
JFK: 11 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 11 ; Aug: ; Sep: ; Oct: )
ISP: 6 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 6 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 27 (April:0 , May: , June: 4, July: 16; Aug: 7 ;Sep: ; Oct :)
BLM: 2589 degree days;
New Brnswick: 9
ACY: 3
TEB: 8
LGA: 7
TTN: 3
EWR: 3
PHL: 4
BLM: 6
JFK:2
NYC: 2
ISP: 2-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8/22
LGA: 92
EWR: 92
New Brnswck: 91
BLM: 89
TEB: 89
NYC: 88
TTN: 88
PHL: 87
ISP: 86
JFK: 86
ACY: 86-
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2PM
LGA: 89
EWR: 89
New Brnswck: 88
BLM: 88
TTN: 86
JFK: 86
PHL: 86
NYC: 86
TEB: 85 (storm)
ACY: 84
ISP: 83 -
24 minutes ago, binbisso said:
Pretty typical summer weather Saturday through Tuesday with 85 to 90 degree readings for most of the area. Then looks like a big fail by the Euro for Wednesday possibly into Thursday with the big heat its showing. Friday looks like tropical remnants could affect the area then big cool down next week end.
Looks to run +5 - +7 or more each day today - Tue. Wed still up in the air of extent of the strong heat by Thu/Fri models look to bring in 95(+) potential heat, then potetntial wet/warm with remnants of Laura Fri PM / Sat. Cooldown looks similar to this week 2-3 days then flow goes warm again by 9/4.
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1PM Roundup
LGA: 88
EWR: 88
TEB: 87
New Brnswck: 87
NYC: 86
BLM: 85
ISP: 85
PHL: 85
JFK: 84
TTN: 84ACY: 83
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GGEM more in line with the ECM for the northward extent of the stronger heat for Thu/Fri.
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81/72 clouds moving out mostly centered over the southern part of the area S-NJ, but even there should clear out by early afternoon. Warmer spots first 90s today in 9 days(8/12). Warmer spots heatwave Sat - Tue (8/25). Storms possible Sun (8/23) and more widespread Mon night.
Tuesday (8/24) more 90s, especially in the warmer spots but likely a broader area, before northern flow brings a brief 8 - 12 hour relief on Wednesday (8/25) maybe just northern areas TTN south may still reach 90s. Stronger heat Thu (8/27) and Fri (8/28) with 850MB temps surging to >18c to near 20c on WSW flow. Record heat possible these two days. The remnants of Laura are currently projected to pass through some time Friday and that will determine if Friday can get to record heat levels.
Weekend cooler for 48 hours before warmer more humid flow returns by the 31st. WAR may bring more warmth / heat by 9/4.
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8/21
LGA: 88
New Brnswck:87
EWR: 87
BLM: 86
TEB: 86
PHL: 85
ACY: 84
TTN: 84
NYC: 84
JFK: 82
ISP: 81-
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72/63. The warmup begins today with highs pushing into the mid and perhaps upper 80s. Clouds plentiful south and west of the area but so far its remaining partly to mostly sunny. The weekend looks warm with 90s likely in the warmer spots especially Saturday. Sunday warm but storms and clouds may limit any upper 80s / near 90s.
Rockies ridge slowly pushes the strong heat into the plains, Miswest and out way next week, as the western Atlantic ridge backs west into the southeast pumping heights into the region and hooking the heat. Mon - Wed upper 80s and low 90s with storm chances each day. Thu (8/27) - Fri (8/28) that 2 day strong heat that could push record temps and challenge season highs. Tropics look aimed at the Gulf and any subsequent moisture may miss or not arrive till next weekend (8/29).
Sharp cooldown looks to follow the strong heat for a 2 day stint Sat (8/30 / Sun 8/31) before more warmth builds back into the area.
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
in New York City Metro
Posted
8/25
LGAL 93
EWR: 92
JFK: 92
ACY: 91
ISP: 91
BLM: 91
PHL: 91
TEB: 90
New Brnswck: 90
TTN: 89
NYC: 89