SACRUS

Dew points tropical air

75/73 in between showers with some breaks in the clouds.  More storms, shower today before drying out and cooling off Fri (9/11) and Sat (9/12).  Sun - Mon looks a touch warmer before more cooler air comes in Tue / Wed then a brief warm-up Thursday (9/17).

9/18 - 9/21 - coolest air of the season since May with several days below normal.  Tropics watch 9/20 - 9/24.  Stronger warmth and more sustained ridging looks to close the month and end things overall +1 - +2.

ECM and GFS with a storm along the EC near 9/21 - 9/24

11 hours ago, doncat said:

You felt it last night? 

Yes woke up to loud boom, thought a tree fell on the house or another house exploded.  Pool water was swooshing around. Shake wasnt too bad but the boom was quite unique and intense.

9/9

TEB: 84
EWR: 82
LGA: 81
NYC: 81
ACY: 81*
PHL: 81
TTN: 80
New Brnswck: 80
JFK: maybe 80
ISP: 78
BLM: 75

This looks off to me. Parts of NJ / NYC north and west may get 1 - 3 inches tomorrow.

27 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I remember  we had one here in NYC in 2011. A week later Irene hit.

That was centered in VA and was a 5.3.  Felt different.  This was more intense loud boom then the shaking.  

https://earthquaketrack.com/p/united-states/new-jersey/biggest

73/71 cloudy , earthquake 3.1 a couple of miles down the road.  Dew points are back the next two days with showers and rain more plentiful Thursday.  Not sure we can reach forecasted highs in the low 80s but we will see if any pokes of sun, 850s are >16c.  Brief cool down Friday and Saturday before more humid and warm flow returns Sunday (8/13) and Monday (9/14).

Tue 9/16 - Fri 9/19 looks more onshore and near or below normal before more ridging returns later in the month could end on a much warmer note.

9/8

PHL: 87
LGA: 84
EWR: 84
TEB: 84
New Brnswck: 84
TTN: 84
NYC: 84
ISP: 83
JFK: 81
ACY: 83
BLM: 79

75/55 off a low of 59.  9/8 - 9/16 overall warmer than normal, humid persistent onshore flow.   Warmer today and Wed with  partly to mostly sunny skies with a S / SSW flow keeping temps capped in the mid 80s.  By Thursday  a more SW flow will develop but clouds and storms will cap temps again in the 80s.   Fri and Sat look cooler with a N / NE flow before a  warmer and more humid southerly flow develops by Sunday  - next Wed (9/16).

9/16 - 9/21 : looks closer to normal with an eye on the tropics.  Ridging looks to close the month out in the EC.

9/7

PHL: 83
TTN: 82
New Brnswck: 82
LGA: 81
TEB: 81
ACY: 80
NYC: 79
JFK: 79
EWR: 79
ISP: 78
BLM: 78

76/63 off a low of 55.  Another goreous day out there today.  Warm and humid overall 9/7 - 9/15. Some high clouds bleeding in from storms in W PA but for the most part partly sunny today.  Tue / Wed more S / SSE / SE flow and with that the humidity spikes.  850 MB temps >16c Tue - Fri but onshore flow and increasing storms by Wed PM and Thursday  shoud cap max temps in the upper 80s in the warmer spots with more common mid 80s this week.  

Looks like a 2 day cool down arriving this coming Friday (9/11) - Sat (9/12) before a warmer  more southerly/onshore develops Sunday (9/13) - Tue (9/15).

Beyond there 9/16 - 9/21 looks near or below normal before a warmer finish to the month.

9/6

TTEN: 86
LGA: 85
EWR: 84
New Brnswck: 84
BLM: 84
PHL: 84
ACY: 83
TEB: 83
ISP: 81
NYC: 81
JFK: 80

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Plenty of onshore flow coming up with high pressure to our north and east. So no 90° potential for the foreseeable future. The last time Newark didn’t reach 90° in September was 2011 and 2012 for LGA.
 

 

id say Thu - Sat would see more of a SW component to flow with 850s >16c but looks like much more abundant clouds and storms chances.  Otherwise like  most of June it looks warm overall with limited 90s.

So far near misses for both sites this Sep.

EWR: 89 (1) / 88 (1)
LGA: 89 (1)

73/ 59.  Just a great labor day weekend.  Sunshine and low to mid  80s today and Labor day.  We start seeing humidity sneaking up tomorrow as flow goes around more SW.  

9/8 - 9/13 Western Atlantic Ridge keep things warm and humid with a persistent ESE / SE and S flow.  Thu there is more of a SW component and 850s are in the >16c range but there is increasing storms/rain chances, so any shot at 90 looks disrupted by clouds and storms chances  Thu (9/10)  /Fri (9/11)  - Sunday (9/13). 

Longer range tropics EC watching 9/12 - 9/16.  Western ridge flexes and wanes and eventually pushes east into the plains . which see  MW trough push into the northeast briefly and extent and length of any cool down is still likely brief before a warmer end to the month with more EC ridging.

9/5

LGA: 82
EWR: 81
ACY: 81
PHL: 81
BLM: 80
New Brnswck: 80
ISP: 80
TEB: 80
NYC: 80
TTN: 80
JFK: 78

9/4

ACY: 89
BLM: 89
EWR: 88
JFK: 88
PHL: 88
ISP: 87
LGA: 87
TTN: 86
New Brnswck: 86
TEB: 85
NYC: 85
 

78 now after 1.04 in the bucket from he storms last evening between 8:30 and 10PM.  Clouds got in the way of any 90s yesterday (89 at both EWR/LGA and other areas).  Today 850s look to be cooling but with enough sunshine outside chance.  This  Labor Day weekend looking beautiful upper 70s low 80s drier with loads of sun!   

Mon 9/7 - Fri  9/11 West Coast roaster, mid section coold/wet and east coast warm and humid by way of Western Atlantic ridge powerhouse.  Should see highs in the low 80s and should we swing to a more SW flow Thu perhaps an outside chance of 90s, other wise warm and humid and above normal overall. 

By next weekend 9/12 some cooler air is pushing into the area as trough swings through the northeast with likely a 2 day cooldown before warmer weather returns towards mid month.  Way beyond looks warm / humid into the area  with east coast elevated heights with continued trough into the MW/GL and ridging rebuilding out west .

9/3

ACY: 89
LGA: 89
EWR: 89
TEB: 87
PHL: 87
BLM: 87
New Brusnwck: 87
TTN: 86
JFK: 86
ISP: 86
NYC: 85

Noon roundup

New Brnswck: 85
ACY: 85
PHL: 84
JFK: 83
LGA: 83
BLM: 82
EWR: 82
TTN: 81
TEB: 80
ISP: 79
NYC: 79

79/66 now and partly sunny.  About 3 - 4 hours of mainly partly sunny skies before more clouds move in. We'll see how high we can get today.  Potential for 90s but clouds may get in the way along with pop up storms.  Labor Day weekend looks spectacula.  Fri warm mid / upper 80s with cooler Sat and Sun before a bit warmer and humid Monday (9/7)

WC ridge, Western Atlantic Ridge expanding west from the NE with trough into the MW/GL.  Reminiscent of late May and Mid June onshore bananza  9/8 - 9/13.  Pending on the flow SE, ESE or E - will determine day time highs but overall warmer than normal, drier with cool and rain staying well west of the area.    Tropics need to be watched in the 9/9 - 9/13 period FL / SE.  

Beyond there warmer finish to the month as WC ridge moves into the plains with heights along the east coast.

9/2

ACY: 87
BLM: 86
New Brnswck: 85
PHL: 85
TTN: 84
EWR: 82
LGA: 81
TEB: 81
JFK: 80
ISP: 79
NYC: 79

73/71 and cloudy.  Dew points are back.  Continued clouds / storms and shower chances today with highs from the mid 70s to low 80s depending if we can get into any clearing. More widespread storms overnight and into tomorrow morning. Thu warmer but still storms and clouds around so temps may be capped in the mid 80s.  Should we see more sun the chance at 90 exists in the hot spots like LGA, EWR metro areas CNJ etc.  More widespread storms Thu evening.  Friday we are clearing out and drying out for a gorgeous Labor Day Weekend.  Highs in the low 80s Sat (9/5) and Sun (9/6). By Labor day we are warming back up to mid 80s.  Western ridge builds heat dome into the southwest again for some record highs labor day weekend out there..

9/8 - 9/14.  West ern Coast Ridge  with Western Atlantic Ridge expanding west  bringing warm south / onshore flow to the EC with deep trough into the MW/ GL.  Brunt of the cool and rain stays west but wouldnt surprise to see some cloudy days but overall warmer.  Pattern still a bit tricky as to the extent of the ridging and its center position.  Beyond there and for the second half of the month looks warmer in the EC with trough pushing into the west and WC ridge building east into the plains.  WAR also likely to influence the area.

9/1

ACY: 81
LGA: 81
PHL: 81
JFK: 79
TEB: 79
TTN: 79
EWR: 79
New Brnswck: 78
ISP: 78
BLM: 77
NYC: 77