SACRUS

Was down at 45 earlier today between 345 and 4AM this morning.  Warm it up Wed and Thu before next cold front brings the coolest air since (today) starting Sat (9/19) through next Tues (9/22).  Looks like moderation and then a much warmer close to the month.  Also guidance may look wetter come Saturday.  

9/14:

EWR: 78
ACY: 77
BLM: 77
TEB: 77
LGA: 77
PHL: 76
NYC: 75
New Brnswck: 75
ISP: 75
JFK: 75
TTN: 74

9 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah its sad what counts as an impressive cool down these days

Sat (9/19) - Tue (9/22) do look solidly below avg. -5 to -7 each day.  

72/ 57 and real nice dry breeze.  Warm and dry today as the front moves through and sun comes out.  Mid / upper 70s.  Tuesday cooler with highs near 70 and lows 50s.  Warmer Wed/ Thu highs near 80 and perhaps low 80s on Thu if we see enough sun.  Friday (9/18) the next front arrives and we cool off to levels not seen since May.  9/19 - 9/24 cooler than normal but lookng mainly dry vert Fall-ish airmass.  30s inland Sunday or next monday?

Longer range looks to end the month on a warm note pushing the overall avg positive.

9/13

PHL: 80
New Brnwck: 79
ACY: 78
TTN: 78
LGA: 77
EWR: 77
TEB: 76
JFK: 76
BLM: 75
ISP: 75
NYC: 74

Low of 55.  Now 74 / 64 with sunshine.  Fri and Sat were more cloudy than forecast and today so far more sunny..  Back and forth pattern the next 5 - 6 days warm Sun / Mon cooler Tue and Wed AM before more warmth and humid air Wed PM through  Fri.  Wed and Thu 850s reach >16C but clouds and rain from sally will keep temps capped in the low 80s.  Any delay or miss from Sally Thu could be sneaky hot day especially in the hotter spots.

9/19 - 9/24 = Coolest since May peaking Mon (9/21) and Tue (9/22).  Beyond there cool pocket slow to erode over the northeast but warmer end to the month looks likely with more ridging sustained in the east.

9/12

PHL: 76
EWR: 74
NYC: 74
LGA: 73
TEB: 73
ACY: 73
TTN: 73
JFK: 72
New brnswck: 72
ISP: 71
BLM: 70

Lots of clouds

71/55 partly cloudy NE winds.  Looks to be a gorgeous day but it may stay partly and at times mostly cloudy low to mid 70s..  Thicker clouds into PA  Tomorrow a bit warmer but more clouds will keep temps in the 70s.  Warmup Monday into the 80s before a 36 - 48 hour cooldown Tue and Wed with temps back into the 70s.  Warmer Thu (9/17) and Fri (9/18) with chance for low to perhaps mid 80s in the warmer spots.  Dry week on tap unless tropical remnants push this way later in the week.

9/19 - 9/24 - coolest readings since may but looking overall dry.  Warmer times look to arrive to close the month on the warm side overall.

Clouds held tough

9/11

LGA: 79
ACY: 79
PHL: 79
EWR: 78
ISP: 78
TEB: 77
JFK: 76
NYC: 76
TTN: 76
New Brnswck: 76
BLM: 75

72/69 / .95 in the bucket.  9/11 - 9/18 overall warmer than normal but no heat and some cooler days.Clouds breaking a bit as winds are more out of the NE.  We dry things out later this morning and afternoon and yet another beautiful Saturday on tap dry and warm  California-like minus the fires and reddish skies.  Sunday - Tue  flow comes around from the SW and likely coming with some clouds with more sun and warmer on Monday (9/14).  Cooler and drier Tue and part of Wed before warmer weather arrives Thu (9/17) and Fri (9/18).  Looks mainly dry this period.

9/19 - 9/23  :cooler air brings the coolest readings since  May / 40s inland cooler spots at night?  Way beyond looks to warm things up the end and close the month above normal. Lets see how models trend with this.  

Tropics watch 9/20 - 9/24 : overnight guidance has mostly in the Atlantic but WAR has been consistently under forecast and plenty of time to watch as prior guidance had a FL threat in the timeframe.

9/10

EWR: 86
TEB: 85
LGA: 85
New Brnswck: 84
PHL: 84
TTN: 83
NYC: 82
JFK: 82
BLM: 81
ISP: 81
ACY: 81

Clouds in the way of what could have been some hot temps today.  Heat is off till 9/24 at the least.

Dew points tropical air

75/73 in between showers with some breaks in the clouds.  More storms, shower today before drying out and cooling off Fri (9/11) and Sat (9/12).  Sun - Mon looks a touch warmer before more cooler air comes in Tue / Wed then a brief warm-up Thursday (9/17).

9/18 - 9/21 - coolest air of the season since May with several days below normal.  Tropics watch 9/20 - 9/24.  Stronger warmth and more sustained ridging looks to close the month and end things overall +1 - +2.

ECM and GFS with a storm along the EC near 9/21 - 9/24

11 hours ago, doncat said:

You felt it last night? 

Yes woke up to loud boom, thought a tree fell on the house or another house exploded.  Pool water was swooshing around. Shake wasnt too bad but the boom was quite unique and intense.

9/9

TEB: 84
EWR: 82
LGA: 81
NYC: 81
ACY: 81*
PHL: 81
TTN: 80
New Brnswck: 80
JFK: maybe 80
ISP: 78
BLM: 75

This looks off to me. Parts of NJ / NYC north and west may get 1 - 3 inches tomorrow.

27 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I remember  we had one here in NYC in 2011. A week later Irene hit.

That was centered in VA and was a 5.3.  Felt different.  This was more intense loud boom then the shaking.  

https://earthquaketrack.com/p/united-states/new-jersey/biggest

73/71 cloudy , earthquake 3.1 a couple of miles down the road.  Dew points are back the next two days with showers and rain more plentiful Thursday.  Not sure we can reach forecasted highs in the low 80s but we will see if any pokes of sun, 850s are >16c.  Brief cool down Friday and Saturday before more humid and warm flow returns Sunday (8/13) and Monday (9/14).

Tue 9/16 - Fri 9/19 looks more onshore and near or below normal before more ridging returns later in the month could end on a much warmer note.

9/8

PHL: 87
LGA: 84
EWR: 84
TEB: 84
New Brnswck: 84
TTN: 84
NYC: 84
ISP: 83
JFK: 81
ACY: 83
BLM: 79

75/55 off a low of 59.  9/8 - 9/16 overall warmer than normal, humid persistent onshore flow.   Warmer today and Wed with  partly to mostly sunny skies with a S / SSW flow keeping temps capped in the mid 80s.  By Thursday  a more SW flow will develop but clouds and storms will cap temps again in the 80s.   Fri and Sat look cooler with a N / NE flow before a  warmer and more humid southerly flow develops by Sunday  - next Wed (9/16).

9/16 - 9/21 : looks closer to normal with an eye on the tropics.  Ridging looks to close the month out in the EC.

9/7

PHL: 83
TTN: 82
New Brnswck: 82
LGA: 81
TEB: 81
ACY: 80
NYC: 79
JFK: 79
EWR: 79
ISP: 78
BLM: 78

76/63 off a low of 55.  Another goreous day out there today.  Warm and humid overall 9/7 - 9/15. Some high clouds bleeding in from storms in W PA but for the most part partly sunny today.  Tue / Wed more S / SSE / SE flow and with that the humidity spikes.  850 MB temps >16c Tue - Fri but onshore flow and increasing storms by Wed PM and Thursday  shoud cap max temps in the upper 80s in the warmer spots with more common mid 80s this week.  

Looks like a 2 day cool down arriving this coming Friday (9/11) - Sat (9/12) before a warmer  more southerly/onshore develops Sunday (9/13) - Tue (9/15).

Beyond there 9/16 - 9/21 looks near or below normal before a warmer finish to the month.

9/6

TTEN: 86
LGA: 85
EWR: 84
New Brnswck: 84
BLM: 84
PHL: 84
ACY: 83
TEB: 83
ISP: 81
NYC: 81
JFK: 80