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SACRUS

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Posts posted by SACRUS

  1. Tropics 80/75.  Had about 0.09 overnight.  Dew point temps in the low to mid 70s next two days.  Clouds look to have some breaks in the next hour and we'll see how fast we can warm ahead of more afternoon and evening storms perhaps strong to severe and plentiful.  Very warm airmass with 850MB >18c today, only clouds and storms would limit widespread 90s.  On Monday ahead of Isiaas, again pending on clouds and showers/storms, should see widespsread 90s in the region. Isaias impacts starting Tuesday pm and continue into the night.  3 - 5 inches of rain area-wide, leaning towards wetter scenario.  Much discussion happening separately on that front in multiple threads.  Beyond there Thu looks like pleasant day of temps near or below normal.  

     

    Warm and wet 8/7 - 8/13.  Limited 90s but humid and warm.  Bit of a ridge north of the region replay from May and June could lead to onshore flow with multiple storm chances when winds come out of the south.  Rockies ridge moves east into the Plains towards the middle or end of next week with next potential sustained heat and perhaps strong heat as WAR possible expands west as well.

     

     

     

  2. On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

     

    2020:

    PHL: 27 (April: 0; May: 0  ; June: 5 ; Jul: 21 ; Aug:  1; Sep:  ; Oct:  )
    EWR: 22  (April: 0; May:  0; June: 5 ; Jul: 17  ; Aug:  ; Sep: ; Oct:  )
    TTN: 22 (April:0 ; May:  0; June: 4;  Jul: 17 ; Aug: q; Sep: ; Oct:  )
    LGA: 25 (April: 0; May: 0; June: 5 ; Jul: 19  ; Aug: 1; Sep:  ; Oct: )
    ACY: 21 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 5  ; Jul: 16 ; Aug:  ; Sep: ; Oct: )
    TEB: 19 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 16  ; Aug:1 ; Sep: ;  Oct: )
    NYC: 16 (April: 0; May: 0 ; June: 2 ; Jul: 14; Aug:  ; Sep: ; Oct:  )
    JFK: 11 (April: 0; May:0 ; June: ; Jul: 11 ; Aug:  ; Sep: ; Oct:  )
    ISP: 6 (April: 0; May:0 ; June:  ; Jul: 6 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
    New Bnswk: 21 (April:0 , May: , June: 4, July: 16; Aug:1  ;Sep: ; Oct :)
    BLM:   22

    89 degree days;

    New Brnswick: 8
    ACY: 3
    TEB: 5
    LGA: 5
    TTN: 3
    EWR: 2
    PHL: 4
    BLM: 4
    JFK:2
    NYC: 1
    ISP: 1

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Newark falls short

    8/1


    TTN: 91
    TEB: 90
    New Brsnwck: 90
    LGA: 90
    PHL: 90
    NYC: 88
    ISP: 88
    EWR: 88
    ACY: 87
    BLM: 87
    JFK: 86

  3. August has been a bit of a back and forth month the last decade.

    EWR
    2010: +1.9 -  continued hot but not like July
    2011:  +1.1 - warm and record  wet after a record hot July
    2012:  +1.8 -  hot after very hot July
    2013: -1.1 - below normal following a very hot Jul 
    2014: -1.3 -  near or below normal after a below normal  July
    2015:  +2.9 - very warm after warmish July
    2016:  +4.1 - very hot after warm Jul
    2017:  -1.8 - cooler than normal after hot Jul
    2018:   +3.4 Hot Aug after hot Juk
    2019:  +0.4 near normal after hot Jul

     

     

     

     

    • Like 1
  4. 84/66 and bright sunshine but clouds on the move from CPA.  We'll see if they can dissipate and we can burn some off. Today pending on clouds will see some of the warmer spots approach 90.  Sunday the same but there look to be plenty of storms nearby.  Sun and Mon will feature a spike of 850MB temps to >18c with high dew points ahead of Isaias so warm and quite wet.  Tuesday - Wed AM dealing with Isaias and plenty rain  3 - 5 inches for total storm totals Mon PM - Wed

     August opening warm and wet besides a couple of days post Isaias (8/6 - 8/7) that look drier.  Rockies ridge will shift towards the plains and heat will eject eat into the GL/MW and then east  into the area towards the middle of the second week of August where more sustained heat is possible. Stronger heat looks more possible  around or closer to mid month.

     

     

  5. 3 hours ago, wdrag said:

    Did anyone notice how HOT it may be/feel in NJ Monday if the slower EC is correct?  Unsure of whether EC slowness on Isaias is correct?  Posting more by 845A

     

    Yes been tracking this as differing forecasts of the strength of the Western Atlantic ridge have 850MB temps between 16c and 20c Sun om and Mon evening.  Clouds and storms only thing that looks to limit strong heat.  But either way Dew point temps will make it real steamy ahead of Isaias.  Mosquito season this August..

    • Like 1
  6. 72/70 with 1.12 in the bucket from overnight storms.  Break in the heat today.  Saturday pending on clearing could see some of the warmer spots touch 90 followed again Sunday and Monday as 850MB temps >18c arrive.  All depends on storms and clouds with Isaias adding a bit more steam too.  Whats left of Isaias looks to impact the region between Tue PM (8/3) and Wed AM (8/4)followed by a few days near normal Thu (8/5) and Fri (8/6)

    August  7th and beyond:

    Continued war and wet pattern with WAR retreating then expanding back later in the period Rockies ridge looks to move east into the plains the second week of August where more heat looks possible.  Overall warm and wet and pending on storms and tropics could be very wet totals.

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