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NorthShoreWx

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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx

  1. NorthShoreWx
    Where's the warm front?
  2. NorthShoreWx
    Still 37⁰ in Smithtown. 40+ most places south of the LIE. Latest HRRR gets Smithtown up to 53⁰ at 5pm and then back down to freezing by 10pm.
  3. NorthShoreWx
    If the two forecast periods were 12 hours apart rather than 6 it would be more informative. We might be looking at the same qpf in both of those frames.
  4. NorthShoreWx
    The max temps will happen on a southwesterly surface wind.
  5. NorthShoreWx
    On the other hand, 13z HRRR gets my neighborhood (further north than most of the Bronx) into the low 50s and keeps them there between 4 and 7pm. Bottom line, that warm sector is going to be too close to rule out it blasting right into or through much of Westchester County based on waivering short term model runs. Maybe it will, maybe it won't...seen this rodeo before.
  6. NorthShoreWx
    The 11z HRRR maxed out the Bronx at 57⁰ around 4pm. The 12z HRRR maxed out the Bronx at 50⁰ around 6pm. The latest 13z HRRR maxes out the Bronx at 47⁰ around 6pm.
  7. NorthShoreWx
    At this time 10 years ago we still had almost a month to go in one of the most wintry stretches of the past century. Only 10 years ago. Wow, has it been 10 years already?
  8. NorthShoreWx
    Except for mainly the stray clipper, almost all precipitation events here in the winter arrive from the southwest in some way. I've been assuming SWFEs involve overrunning warm air in the absence of a deep trough or surface low. I realize it's more of a board classification and probably not a term one would see in text books, so I guess we'd need to look to the utility of classifying them that way to determine where to draw the lines.
  9. NorthShoreWx
    Deep cutters aren't considered SWFEs, are they?
  10. NorthShoreWx
    It's great news for the people who post there if the threads are all permanently deleted.
  11. NorthShoreWx
    True that. We're on a hill a little over a mile from the sound and the wind howls and seldom get as much snow as a few miles south of here in a true blizzard. We're 10 miles from ISP and in several of the major blizzards over the past 20 years have seen on the order of 16" while ISP is closer to 2 feet, yet the snow seems to disappear faster there. The biggest example was also the windiest; December 2010 when we barely reached 12" of dense powder. When winds are light any snowfall differences are explained only by banding or mixing issues.
  12. NorthShoreWx
    I won't miss it, but why?
  13. NorthShoreWx
    Mineola 6.5" Farmingdale 11.0" Babylon 9.5" Setauket 7.5" Riverhead 5.5"
  14. NorthShoreWx
    Max here was 43.9 The sun made a brief appearance starting shortly before 5, but it felt a little chilly with the breeze.
  15. NorthShoreWx
    The Florida panhandle probably holds on to snow longer than Manhattan.
  16. NorthShoreWx
    0.17" LE from last night and this morning's event. Estimated 0.04" was frozen (0.2" wet snow accum) prior to change over. All of the rain fell between temperatures of 34° and 37° Fog has lifted, but no sign of the sun approaching 3pm. Any clearing before sunset for central/eastern LI will be brief. 42.8° now. Max so far today has been 43.9°
  17. NorthShoreWx
    I was referring to today's weather.
  18. NorthShoreWx
    The sun will eat it a lot faster if it comes out now. You'll have an icy cover left tomorrow morning.
  19. NorthShoreWx
    He didn't say that CP is representative of the north shore. I think the sentence that you may have misunderstood is that if CP holds onto snow, the north shore usually holds on to snow. It would be more difficult to apply that same generalization to the south shores of NYC and LI. <note: quoted posts were from a non-banter thread>
  20. NorthShoreWx
    Snowfall should be measured in an open area away from buildings or trees (e.g., not in the woods). I have some tall hemlocks out back and the ground under them often stays bare in a snowfall. Ditto some cedar in front. Some of yesterday's light snow fell never made it out of the trees.
  21. NorthShoreWx
    North Smithtown, 10pm 33⁰ light snow Car topper 0.1" new Mostly melting on pavement except where shady during the day. Accumulating on the snowpack.
  22. NorthShoreWx
    34⁰ with pixie dust in N Smithtown.
  23. NorthShoreWx
    Desperate times call for desperate measures.
  24. NorthShoreWx
    I often thought back in the 80s when there was a lot of cold air interrupted by Great Lakes Cutters and there were still a couple of downhill ski areas on Long Island, that some kind of system like that to cover the trails on southeaster days would have been valuable.
  25. NorthShoreWx
    Went skiing in the woods near Sunken Meadow this afternoon. The coverage was excellent, very few "submerged objects". The temperature was near freezing and the snow was a bit sticky. On some of the steeper hills that I would normally herringbone up, I just skied up as if there were skins on the skis. It was absolutely gorgeous in the woods. I may link an album with some photos this evening. Like you said, it was satisfying.
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