NorthShoreWx

It's going to make it tough on the guys who rely heavily on analog years for the medium to long range.

I like that it's an unusual pattern for our winters. Will be fun to see how it plays out. I noticed you have a jersey hole shadow. You might want to consider a restraining order.

28 here. The sound giveth and the sound taketh away.

850 FXUS61 KOKX 212101 CCA AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service New York NY 401 PM EST Sun Dec 21 2025 ... QPF overall will be light, largely near or under a quarter inch, which will limit any potential snowfall. Forecast amounts have not changed significantly from the previous forecast, with up to an inch along the coast, and 1 to 2 inches moving inland northof interstates 80 and 95, with highest amounts in the elevated areas of the interior LoHud Valley, interior SW Connecticut, and NE NJ. Central Park Snow Observer activation is not expected at this time.

And since we'll sooner see omega humping an out of control NAM run than budget approval for a dedicated observer in the park, you know which way this is more likely to go.

Edit: It's still sunny here at 11:45a

We spiked to 48.4 at 9:40 am and are down 2 degrees since. That's been happening a lot recently with the max, or at least a secondary max before 10am. I have no explanation for why. I noticed the same on a couple of other local sensors.

"the year"? As in it only happened once?

Or maybe the HRRR mocking us.

HRRR has been hinting at snow showers here around 8/9pm

The rainfall definitely blew up big time on radar in that line as it reached the north fork.

much wind with that? Was a big nothing wind wise when it went through here.

Lucky you. Someone farts here and we lose power. Usually. So far so good today.

I think they were right about that; you can see the squall line damping out as it reaches the coast. On the other hand it has been very windy here. Peak gust from my poorly sited backyard station at 2 meters is 22mph, which breaks the old record by over 2mph...this goes back a little over a year. Rules of thumb don't really work for that kind of inaccuracy, but I'm thinking we've gusted over 50. It is roaring out there. Somehow, we still have power which is a nice surprise. This section of Smithtown is basically a 3rd world country. Wooded with an above ground grid.

Same here. It occured to me that the white boards randomly scattered on the lawn looked a little ridiculous and I went out and retrieved them.

Nice fake cold last night. Min was pretty steady around 26⁰ for several hours, then rising slightly to 28 by 8:30, then to 46⁰ by 9:30 (up 17 degrees in an hour). If it hasn't scoured out by you yet, wait a few minutes.

A little video from Sunday https://www.instagram.com/reel/DSZOkzcgPmc/?igsh=MXdteWI3eWp6OHR6cw==

For example, these:

Heads up, there's black ice out there right now. Be wary on the roads.

I'll throw in for 2014-2015. 2010-2011 got the deepest, but 2015 was a close second. Plus we had drifts out back into April.

I can't swear it isn't redundant, but a lot of the climate data we look at comes from there.

This isn't good for us wx types regardless of how you feel about CC: https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/trump-administration-dissolve-key-climate-research-agency-2025-12-17/

It's not a common thing. My neighbors know it's going to snow when they see the boards out on my front lawn.

Dang, only 3 of the top 25 are in my lifetime. We missed the best Decembers.

Lots of fine ways to jackpot in a storm