michsnowfreak

Oh I love to head into the woods and hike. I want to snowmobile too.

Looking good for some dry clipper snow. Id say Detroit looks good for 1-2" tmrw and 1-3" Monday. Chicago looks 2-3" tmrw and 1-2" Monday.

I booked a cabin on Vrbo in Au Train, not far at all from Munising, Feb 21-25. We all have the same idea lol. Best, deepest snow is always late Winter.

It's an op model run. It will change next cycle.

Feb always ftw!

Crazy. A factory to my North apparently seeded clouds enough to provide a band of snow to hug the Detroit River. Got 0.4" here but 2.5 miles West got nothing

What's average peak depth up that way? We neared 2 feet in 2014, 18" in 2015, and 14" in 2018 & 2021, but I'd say avg peak depth is 8-10".

How much on the ground?

Beat me to it. I was thinking it's time for a thread. Seems like lots of moving parts and may need to extend the date thru the 25th, but finally legit, old-fashioned clipper potential.

Clipper potential on Monday looks interesting.

Do you mean Nov 11, 2019? That was Detroits largest November snowstorm on record with 9.2".

Good to hear. Last Feb was rocking but definitely not like the relatively recent glory days.

Let me have a few lol. Feb is our can't go wrong month anymore it seems.

Wow nice to hear from you, thought you left Toronto. Only the Feb 2015 storm here matches that for snowfall here in my lifetime (although depths in 2014 and 1999 were greater).

What is your hometown? Didn't know you weren't from MI! Bare frozen ground here with some frozen snow piles. Thank goodness next week looks clipperier because my patience is getting thin. My total precip in Jan to date is just 0.27", with 2.8" snow.

Just curious where you were hearing next month is supposed to be very mild? Neither the CFS nor euro weeklies show a mild February. Quite the opposite in fact.

Not sure about that. season to date snowfall map thru yesterday shows that parts of Missouri literally had 0 snowfall until today. But all that said, not a fun pattern

Cold and dry unfortunately seems to be the theme for a while, and the Indiana screw zone has been brutal thus far, but posting all these op model runs verbatim qpf and assuming that's what happens is lol-worthy. Any impulses, clippers, or snow with arctic fronts will not be modeled well ahead of time anyway, much less with as much as the models have been struggling. And of course, it's not out of the question for another decent system to pop up in a cold regime.

I'll take it!

Years that we were screwed? I thought 88-89 was bad everywhere. I mean...like I said, it's way too early to make a call. It's been a frustrating Winter so far for damn sure though. I don't buy into that stat padding crap either. November saw 7" of snow...it was still snow. But I look at it like it's a cruel joke from ma nature. You start off with a bang before winter even starts, like giving candy to a kid before dinner, then you let it fizzle to zzzz. There were some cold, dry winters in the olden days. A few of the dreaded 40s winters were actually quite cold.

Lol I wouldnt go that far when we are not even at midwinter. Its been a while since we've had one of the old "cold and dry" winters. The 1980s were not bad they just didnt have a lot of big storms (of course I don't remember, I'm just going from data). The 2nd half of the 1990s were blah city with the king of screwzone winters being 1995-96. 95-96 saw tons of snow in all directions avoid the ORD-DTW corridor. Since then we have many times jackpotted but I have never seen a screw zone like that. That said, this winter doesn't compare to that. One week of seeing systems avoid us in what has been a frustrating Winter for almost everyone is a far cry from months of being avoided in all directions, watching everyone else have a great Winter, until our surprise Mar 20, 1996 snowstorm.

I don't think anyone called it a decent winter last week. What's worse the mini thaw got rid of our snow except for piles. With the rest of the month looking very cold hopefully we get a few clippers and then hopefully February once again comes through as the star month. I'm very irritated right now but that will escalate to pissed then f*cking pissed if this keeps up.

The story of the models.

Not necessarily. We'll just have to see where clippers end up tracking here. As of now almost everyone's been in no man's land lol.

Our 2.7" New Year's snowfall did it's best to hang on through a zzzzz 1st 9 days of January, But thanks to yesterday's pointless mid to upper 30s damp thaw We now have just patches and piles of frozen Snipes. Extended pattern has clipper potential but any details are going to be non existent before anything gets into short range.