michsnowfreak

Should be a snowy afternoon and evening. Unlike the slushy snow of the 14th, this should stick easily. First WWA of the season.

I'd take a repeat of 2017-18 in a heartbeat

Saturday night looking good for some snowfall here.

1.9" is the svg for DTW as well for Nov.

Why do I not remember what this stands for lol? Warm & dry?

Yes temps were very cold. February is our "can't go wrong" month anymore. Last Winter was on its way to being extremely meh, outside of a perfect Christmas snowfall, then as usual February came along and bam. Deep snow and deep cold. How long will you be in Florida?

I just checked the observations, wasn't that quick of hitter. Wonder if you're thinking Feb 4th? That was a classic quick hitter...dropped 3-5" in 4 hours area wide. Feb 15th....after morning snow dropped 1-2" there was a lull all afternoon...then snow began at 5pm, ending at 9am the 16th. Heaviest snow rates in the 10pm-3am window. New snowfall was 8-9" for Detroit and its eastern burbs, on top of the 1-2" from the earlier morning. Snow depth after the storm was 14" at Detroit and 18" at Toledo.

I honestly can't remember how long it lasted but for me personally it was a great storm because we did have a fresh 9" from the main batch, and when you add in all of the old snow on the ground I was like a kid playing with my snow blower in the deep drifts. Uh oh you're going to Florida again? Guess that means not a lot of snow in December and yet another February buried lol.

Actually the storm was a good hit for the east side. There was wave 1 which dropped 1-2" in the morning...then the main event evening into the next morning which dropped 6-10" on the east side. DTX did NOT count the morning wave in their storm summary. So the two day totals were widespread double digits on the east side depends how you counted it (some nws offices counted 1 storm, some 2). The Feb 4th storm was the insane band where the 4-hour 4" snowfall saw the first 3" fall in like 75 minutes. Those were the best synoptic rates I've seen in years. https://www.weather.gov/dtx/210215winterstorm

I would be shocked if there weren't some power house storms in the area in a 2nd year Nina. Based on track you risk anything from snow to ice to rain or a mix of all 3...but chances should be there. Btw...don't forget about Feb 15/16 storm last year. 11" fell, good rates and drifting in the evening. It was definitely the most severe storm we have had in a few years (although Nov 11 2019 was the most anomalous).

Lol. For real though, since 2010, which is 12 years, Detroit has averaged 18.3" of snow in Feb. This is literally double the longterm average of around 9". Going back a full 20 years we have averaged 16".

The amount of snow we have been getting in February is insane. It's unlike anything I've ever seen in the climate record in terms of varying so dramatically from the average on such a consistent basis.

Last Winter lake Erie actually peaked at 81% ice coverage which is above average peak. But this was entirely Feb. Seems like even Erie only fully freezes in cold winters.

Id have to look into it more. Maybe it affects areas in the snow belts more, since they have the highest averages.

The thing is Michigan is a cold state so Temp departures and snow don't go hand in hand as they would in, say, the mid Atlantic. Northern Michigan can have a banner snow year with way above avg Temps. Likewise a bitter cold winter can freeze the lakes early and shut off the lake effect machine prematurely leaving to well below normal snow. I've studied a ton of climatology for Detroit and even in the "warmest" and" least snowy" part of the state, there is no direct correlation with temperatures and snowfall. Once you get to the North country, it's an absolute crap shoot. And what I mean by correlation, is that everything is basically dependent on weather patterns and storm tracks.

Where are you seeing this?

Always concerns in late Fall. Just hope the cold produces.

Snow squalls last night. 0.1 of snow fell. Got this neat picture closeup of snow dusting a fallen leaf

Snow fell steadily most of the day today. It it mostly melted as fell, just slushing up a bit. I recorded 0.20" of precip, all snow, but only a total snowfall of 0.2". It was nice to see and just a reminder that the long Winter awaits. Just to my west there was more accumulation with 0.7" at DTW and 1 to 2" near Ann Arbor.

Bring on snow!!! I am ready!

A thick frost with DTW getting to 27 this morning

After DTW saw the first snowflakes Nov 2nd, the first freeze (29°) was Nov 3. It was a brilliant crisp morning and the finale of what was a dull color show is beautiful!

Saw the 1st flakes here as well. My mom called me to say "Hey it snowing out" and sure enough it was. Scattered flakes throughout the day, nothing of consequence but just nice to see those 1st ones

sun setting yesterday

First frost this morning. Low at DTW 36 but rural places had a freeze.