pasnownut

BOOOOO

and as you look at the state and see who's had snow and who hasn't, this is why I'm fine w/ less frequent snows so long as they stick around (like pawatch pic above). that'd brighten my (and prob others moods) a bunch in the last month. BTW, I'm not worried about todays warmup....i wont lose any brown from the warmth. Is what it is, but it sucks TBH)

verbatim, looking at ens guidance says we need to score on this one, cause it may be our 1 shot at winter down here. Way to far out to worry yet, but lookin at ens guidance doesnt show the cold holding. Havent looked at tellies to see how things match up, but just throwin it out there. Pattern still looks progressive so we should get chances for stuff, but deep winter looks a bit challenging here (may be a good thing, cause deep winter has been craptastic for us in LSV).

mt hood

dunno what that means? You like? I think its a good series. Robyn Wright is a talented director IMO.

one of my top 5 beers. E and J Apple on the rocks and Ozark marathon session just ended....oh the drama.

bunch of snowflakes......... oh the irony of that statement

Please show us where...?? Barnes corners, lowville, old forge, lake placid.....all snow. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.2821&lon=-73.9828#.YfyUO-pKiUk and many locals have been snowing since this afternoon. Maybe southern NY, but not northern.

your road cleaning is in process, but I'm not thinking much if any of this "soaks". Guess we can call it wasted water..

@mahantango#1here are 850's for same time stamp. And fwiw, i'm not saying this is correct in the end, but it clearly depicts what we have to overcome thermally to get those precious frozen varieties. and after storm is largely past us

with slp below pit, your thermals are going to erode a bit w/ SW wind, and if you look at mesos, the SW component never really turns NW. as storm is pulling out, you can see they've yet to shift ever after SLP has passed by to our E. Thats whats working against us.

I actually think its one of the harder parts to forecast, as ground temps play into that part of the forecast and that's not really "weather". I'd think it better to play it safe, but we all know you'd hear b!tchin either way....I sorta feel for them in icing events. its 33 and plain ol rain here...what a bust vs. its 32 here and a skating rink....why weren't we warned.... boy I wish i was headed to the cabin tonight. They ARE gonna get a shellackin. My son is headed up w/ friends tomorrow mornin. Told him to take losta pics. Good chance at 20+ OTG after this event.

lol....and i the under

Since snow maps are being used to show how bad this snow event may be for some of us (which is just fine), I'll throw this one out for the masses. Coming from the leader of the model pack as well, so you can decide how many chips you wanna throw down on it verifying..... While still "bad" for me, I'd bet many here would give body parts for this to verify. If only............. Stare at it long and hard, cause in a few hours it goes poof....Hope you get a good chuckle like I did.

Crashing.............

wow, its bright as can be down here in brownville.

After the deep cold of late (especially the mins), its hard not to feel good on a day like today. Enjoy!

You'll have the least amount of taint and less duration in liquid form IMO. SW winds no matter where SLP is below us, are still SW winds. Frontal boundary, as I've said all along, is the key to victory for all. The quicker it gets here is time we dont lose to taint....and its all about the taint.

6z 850s nooner's. Now that's what I call a tick.. Is it enough...not sure, but headed in right direction.

6z nooner

today was the day that it should. I've got nothing to lose at home (well a 10' patch in backyard), so NBD for me

I'm telling ya....its out to score a coupe, or it has an affinity for eatin crow. I really like that its eekin south again (so did NAM) as well as shows a quicker changeover here. Hoping the Euro comes in a bit better as well and we might actually have more than consolation snows.

Nah....just a great place to visit/vacation. I never expect anything close to what they get, but make it a priority to go up often enough to get my snow fix (when I dont have it down here). While this pattern sure is tricky, knowing your climo and how things role in ones hood should make it easier for one to set expectations when looking at maps. That keeps me in check and rarely out of house money when placing bets.

One benefit, is that for those who have been on the snowy side of what has fallen, it has been retained (and hopefully enjoyed). You and I have lost basically 4 weeks of cold to brown ground....that is a kick square in the kahunas.

Absolutely. It's why when I post, i often give my "why" statement....to validate my reasoning right or wrong. Hell, that DT post that tango just put up at least has DT suggesting WHY he thinks the cold will be a challenge. Right or wrong, at least he gives reasoning. Some people need to be reminded that you don't have to "like" what someone says, to respect what they put out, as long as they explain the WHY. Wow...I don't care for DT, but still defended him.....see?? This is one tricky ass deal coming up, and some will have smiles and others heartbreak... I know that Lanco typically sits on the heartbreak side, and doesn't do well wrt these type of deals, but think many in here have quite an event possible w/ a plethora of frozen to contend with. Today/tonight we start to draw the lines (and hope they dont look like some of last nights .