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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    ICON looks similar to GEM. Worlds apart. Euro not interested either, but lets see if the GFS is sniffing out the next one like it has been.
  2. pasnownut
    First flakes mixing here in Akron. For all that are in this one...enjoy!
  3. pasnownut
    light rain here, but gotta be close to the changover. They are 16 minutes late.. All good.. Still think next Tuesday needs watched. Couple models showing the NS/SS vorts and GFS shows them working together a bit more once again. CMC and ICON are too far apart.
  4. pasnownut
    Just read CTP's disco, and they also are not worried about losing much to boundary layer issues, as the cold is pressing and should cool column sufficiently. Hope thats the case. I'll be happy w/ 2 or 3, and just want it to stick around. HH for next tues. looked a bit more strung out, but still plenty of time for that one.
  5. pasnownut
    As suggested upon perusing the GFS, this might be the next one to hope for. Better look and interaction between NS and SS. Verbatim, 500's say come on up and visit Pa on your way through. Since both big boys have it....keep an eye on it.
  6. pasnownut
    Yeah pattern looks less boring, but now timing seems to be the challenge. Glad to see the cold doesnt overwhelm for long. Hope we have stuff to track by the weekend. I'm looking forward to cutting firewood in the snow Saturday.
  7. pasnownut
    That one might be our next shot at something decent. NS and SS almost did it but not sure were gonna slow the NS down at that timestamp. Quicker ejection from SS could do it though, but thats just wishcasting.
  8. pasnownut
    Tries to laugh.....but cries instead.
  9. pasnownut
    yeah if i were you I'd look for the Buy It Now option....
  10. pasnownut
    stink eye...brown eye....pick one...or both. Just playing around but that one really brought up my blood pressure. Not AGAIN. Two retros in a month. No thanks.
  11. pasnownut
    Looking at 258-264 will likely get the cringe factor going again. Past weekend redux, only larger. Westers will need avalanche beacons to go get groceries....I'd need a boat
  12. pasnownut
    its all in the spacing. 18z has a slightly better look. The bigger Thurs gets, the less room for amplification for your storm. While normally I'd sacrifice small in hopes for bigger, Thurs, likelys gets us looking like winter. Gonna be hard for me to root against it. But I'm just being greedy.
  13. pasnownut
    My Mo in Law winters just south of that green blob, like 15 miles from Mexico border. If I share this with her, she might take me out of the will (after thinking about it....I'm not sure I'm in it )
  14. pasnownut
    We all approve of your logic.... Sound....very sound.
  15. pasnownut
    You forgot that one must divide by 2 first. I'll take 2.6 and be fine w/ it.
  16. pasnownut
    We are........... does that help?
  17. pasnownut
    It actually comes more closely in line w/ most other guidance. That trough axis needs SLP coming outta lower Tennessee valley for us to cash in. Slp that pops in NC w/ a stout 1041 HP nicely anchored above screams wide right as 500 was lagging back below kpit and didnt drop in or tug the slp back west. Can it happen, sure, but it didnt here.
  18. pasnownut
    oof...at 90 it takes the progressive look and scoots wide right... brushes LSV w/ flurries while beach snow lovers rejoice. Sorry.
  19. pasnownut
    At 78 -84 it looks a bit better for #2, but looks to lose #3. SLP now off NC coast Put your eggs in Trainers basket.
  20. pasnownut
    at 72 its marginally better for Trainer storm, but I'm just being an optimist....
  21. pasnownut
    regardless of part #2....part #3 for sunday has started to tease a bit....we'll see in a few minutes.
  22. pasnownut
    Euro serves a nothinburger for part #1....but it never really had it on its menu...
  23. pasnownut
    fwiw. thru 36 much the same as 0z. 540's dissect the state from kpit to kpoconos. Precip on kpit SW doorstep. I'm just playin around as I know most dont really have much care about this little event....but I do, so play along w/ me.
  24. pasnownut
    Looking over nooner GFS and Ens, suggest that regardless of the weekend, whatever snow that comes should have staying power, and through EOM. I may be a little bummed today, but game is far from over...even for me. Hoping el Kingo has the same ideas. Moving forward tellies are muted signals, and AOA average w/ MJO still in 7. All in all we should have chances if Ens Guidance verifies. Was that better Trainer??
  25. pasnownut
    All good.... All good... While I'm generally positive, I'd say I'm more of a realist that looks for silver..(or white) linings. My deck of cards is rather diminished, and bluffing rarely goes nowhere in this game, but I still have a pile of chips to play w/ (time wise). I'm sure you know my area. From firetowers North of Brickerville, its winter....come south to Ephrata, it was rather painful how quick and how much it eroded last evening. Is what it is.
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