pasnownut

We all need to keep telling ourselves that. All this verbatim analysis is a big big part of the fun, but until we get closer....its just that...fun.

IMO if we slow it down and 500 stacks....great. Column cools....we snow If we slow down and 500 doesnt capture, it tugs SLP inland screwin up your and my thermals while others are making naked snow angels much guidance has shown 500 tailing behind a bit. that worries me as inland solutions cant be discounted IMO. All the same, we are all close to something pretty nice. Anyone else have a thought/theory?

best accums shifted east. Showing for trends...not forecasts. Cant believe I still need to say that....but I do...and i will. 0z nooner

youre in the clear...all snow.

nooner

oz nooner

I'll help a bit. at 60...slp about 150 -200 SE of 0z

well looky here...go for it.

Buddy lives outside of Phillipsburg. Yeah some real fixer uppers up there... Starts w/ a match.

Time for a group model hug....K for full discosure and further elimination of any bias, ..I'll post GEPS as it comes out as well. Verbatim panel before, it heads straight at us....sees us w/ swords n shields in hand, and says...hell no..not up for that fight....and heads NW to open water (and safer space than over us).

Some may.....

Looks like we might have a fight on our hands (like we didnt know that) GEFS is 3ast of op....GEPS west. Thats an eyebrow raiser. GEFS GEPS (and not good IMO)

Just saw this. If euro goes east a bit, I'd worry a lot less and this would now be an outlier. But we need to see continuation of trends to call this bunk.

Oops...try this one. Now that it may be getting past the due north phase, we can focus on the precious snow shield to NW and where banding sets up. Verbatim Mag to 2001kx is sittin in the catbird seat.

Getting there anyway. LP placement makes more sense IMO. Not saying its final solution by any means, but several of us have been thinking this would happen, so at least I'm not alone on the limb. lol Now that the cone looks to be narrowing a bit more....we can start worrying about how much..

This is what I've been waiting for

I get ya....but I'd still trade seats w/ you for this one.... Starting to think mix threat will be further mitigated, but still not sure if eliminated yet. That damn SLP coming due north chaps my ass. As of last pic I shared, it has to be the ULL doing the tug a lug in an attempt to stack which pulls it W until it hits the colder dome and heads NE. Thats just me spitballin though.

We're trying pal... Wishing you def bands and snowdrifts....

This should make a few happy. Jury is still out for me....

Good news is that while the ICON comes at us, it then scoots NE down around DC/Bal area. Mitigates some damage for us LSV'rs. 500LP still taling behind, and not vertically stacked, but would be close enough to be the cuprit for the tucked solutions. Still like the trends with enough time left.

Yours Truly, DT

.....and he thinks he's the weather god...knowitall. I dont take well to those kind.

Absolutely. Still may go in a bad/worse direction for us here in the LSV, so be prepared. Clean snow is probably not likely down/over here, but as little taint as possible would be the win IMO. We'll find out shortly.

I'll take 10 JB's over 1 of him....No joke. NO THANKS. Hoping you dont hang your weather hat on DT's mantle....

You bet. While we all love the snow maps and use them for fun....with the challenge of getting the pieces in the right place....its really not worth the fun/pain yet. With so many moving parts 500low/700low/ridge axis, the only thing that has been a stable piece (and largely why I've taken my "it'll be SE stance) - is the antecedent cold and HP that continually is showing up. You dont just bully that stuff around, and we are now seeing corrections as the cold is being realized. Nice CAD is showing up, and notably south, and with that mindset, I hope we get the couple adjustments needed for this to climb the coast and not sit over my head or retrograde like 0z sorta presented. Oh...and one other thing...ENS guidance still shows SE movement a definite possibility. Here's to a good day of tracking.