pasnownut

Upcoming heatwave is being brought to you by the following sponsors..... GFS Op rain in late october

morning commute across northern lanco saw 33 at house with 30-34 between lititz and etown, but once to etown, they must have borrowed middletowns heat gun and they were stuck at 37. Most widespread frost this season (albeit light for most it was rather widespread in a lot of areas). I'd say north of Manheim was the winner in the frosted pumpkin dept. Nice job GFS. over the last week I saw many runs as i was keeping an eye on it, and i'd say it verified pretty well in our area. Looking forward to next week when we look to do this all again. Until then, I'll just enjoy the perty colors.

Looking beyond this Sat-Mon warm up that as per GFS Op guidance, it looks like a couple days of mid (and upper 60's with a couple "lucky" 70's being thrown in....we then look to settle into deeper autumn and get to enjoy the much more normalish coolish nights and days. lotsa 30's/50- to low 60's showing up. That starts w/ a frontal passage next Tues. Yes, I'm sure there will be a few surprises (as there always is beyond any 7 day looks), but I personally like what I see...for the next 7-10 days. Not worried a bit about the heights being depicted on the Op guidance past 240 as Ens has a notably more muted look and beyond 7 days, and Ens guidance is usually where I'd place my house money for that timeframe. Havent dug much deeper with other guidance as theres really not anything to look at yet...other than perty leafy colors. Once the white starts...that's a different story.

Yeah, that theory holds about as much water as the farmers almanac. As always, its easier to find ways to fail than it is to win in this sport.

While tempting, they are great neighbors otherwise...so i just take it on the chin, crack a beer and fire up the JD and mow mow mow em down. While it may come as a surprise, there may be a thing or 2 that they dont like about me..........

I'll give you an address to drop off a snowball in Houtzdale area....put it in the front yard where my buddys place is. hehe

I do every year and its a normal thing for me. I also am literally surrounded by neighbors that think the wind is their leaf removal system, so I have to clean up "their" mess in my yard as they NEVER clean up leaves....ever.

sw winds have been modeled, but as boundary progresses east, winds will come again outta the wnw for a bit.

looking forward to seeing you back. Congrats on the white gold.

Congrats to all that "cashed in" in the last 2 days w/ first frostings. Never thought for a second we'd see it down here, but us snowhounds are giddy to see it getting closer. Headed to clearfield tomorrow. Looks like I'll be a day late.... 37 for low w/ spotted frost on rooftops around my hood.

2 days in a row for coudersport. also laurel highlands showing their first coatings as well. Glad this limb held me for a whole week...and still not a crack.

Unfortunately I'm not sure how it's avoidable right now. And to think that this has been all "part of the plan"

I REALLY feel for those who heat w/ oil, or baseboard heat, and are/were not able/cannot afford to transition to alternative methods (notice i didnt say cheaper). IMO efficiency is gonna be key. Hoping my new windows help w/ that. Quite an investment, but was needed.

yeah thats a big jump. Sorry to hear that. I know a lot of people are worried about utility costs right now....and they should be. What a friggin mess we are in...

28 at cabin this am and looking at NAM, tomorrow may be rather widespread frost/freeze even for us that werent considering it down here. Best panel for maximum effect...aka....cherrypickin. Wind is already outta the SW, so IMO its almost looking like a CAD presentation as the mtns may lock in the cold SE of them for a bit prior to the scouring to commence. Just me thinkng aloud...

yeah, I think tomorrow is a legit crack at it. Thurs has a chance as well, but looks to be the start of warming as winds turn to the SW. Nice cold shot to get us in the mood. First fire in the woodstove last night. It was nice.

coudersport is in the books for a T http://www.swedenhillsnocam.com/PCSC.jpg 37 was my low. Never expected a freeze, although tonight may flirt w/ some frost for even us down here.

one can dream right.... tha'd prob be rain or pingers for me while you make naked snow angels...

lol... they never had you getting below freezing - but verbatim he now is (when he wasnt). This is arguably the "coolest" this panel has looked for our part of the map (if one takes the time to look over the trends). Peace out...

.27 at cabin in Tioga....so they also underachieved as per NWS precip outputs being spit out yesterday. Enjoy the weekend all....headed to the hills in a little bit to take in all of autumns glory. Oh and .........go State!! And Eagles!!

Huh, that sounds nice. My new Blaze King wood stove has catalytic converter, which when it works...its great, but it's a persnickety bugger, and I'm still working out the kinks w/ it. Its touted as extremely efficient (and I know my wood moisture content was too moist last season), which reduces the efficiency/burn.

get your woodstove ready (if you have one). I think mine will fire up next week to kick the season off.

That even works down here. Hoping that look holds as we get closer.

Looking at overnighters, seems like it's still on track for a pre season teaser for the typical lucky ones, as trough looks to be slightly deeper than yesterday as well as backed in. It's short lived though and looks like a couple cool days before we warm back up for the following weekend, but that's ok. It's early autumn and see saws are expected. Enjoy the ride. Same timestamp as previous for continuity's sake.

@canderson.55 event total for me as well. Now we enjoy a nice autumn weekend and wait to see who gets the first flakes next week.