sorry to hear that. Yeah that warm nose often tends to be a spoiler in systems w/ marginal column. Warm so often seems to win.
Lets get some blue lines below Pa for a few days n see what next week cooks up precip wise.
Thank you
thank you
thank you.
oh and speaking of Op runs.....
Edit: we'll only feel the doom n gloom when this doesnt happen exactly as depicted from 7 days out. lolols
Glad you like what you see as well as you know some weenies look through glasses coated in christmas tree flocking when parsing over model runs in search of snow.
I may have a pair.....or 2
In fairness, HBG was always close to the no snow line...like where i am. Model consensus suggested that leading in. Sorry you got/feel jipped.
We'll start a support group down here in the jip zone. Feel free to join anytime
Maybe next week we get some action...until then enjoy the time of season.
and furthermore on the pre christmas miracle, there are several more panels that show addl precip, and verbatim a long drawn out near nuke potential IF we can get timing a little better. But thats just chatter....unless it happens.
Shouldnt you all be looking out da window at your real snow instead of digital....????
My mood is festive no matter if my ice accretion is almost gone here in Etown.
Just remember that you need to look at 24 hr precip panels for next week, as much of what you shared is based on current event. Precip panels where not crazy, but the potential for something notable seems to be looming for that timeframe.
because it is norther stream energy dropping SE and pops a secondary below us. Look at 540 and you'll see that antecedent cold is deep enough and stays below us, and keep our precious column cold enough. Next panel has far SE taintin to rain for a wee bit after most precip falls as snow.
Mind you thats a verbatim analysis of 1 model run thats a week out, but since its a week....and a big week....worthy of mention.
11:40 lunch run for chinese complete
steady rain....34 in etown. Flip is a flop for us down here where FV3 suggested we may get it in western Lanco. Good luck to those still w/ a fightin chance.
Oh well.
as per above themals, the good news is that the column while marginally so, is decent for many in sub., so dynamic cooling has a chance as better precip rates come before coastal cranks and SE winds do their thingy.
nooner gfs says after any brief thumpage in the next couple hours, that SLP is a wee bit N and warms us in SE 1/3 a tad more than previous run. Hoping true centrals can hang on.