pasnownut

Absolutely. Just a crazy year. Cant wait till it all becomes snow!!

hey.....he's sittin in my tree cams showing Sweden hill and germania w/ what looks like 1-2". Nice to see it.

http://www.swedenhillsnocam.com/

FWIW 12k says yes to above for Saturday. Boiled down, first appreciable flakes likely to fly for folks at elevation. Enjoy

Holding the line says GFS.

Regardless where we end up in the next week, its definitely nice to see blues returning on the precip panels...no matter the verification. Gotta start somewhere. Bonus rounds as we are safely out of October and cant be jinxed by November snows....lol

FWIW, the NAM shows it way west and more of a frontal boundary with no transfer, so pick your poison. I shared snow maps just for fun as its been a while. Dont want any to think its a forecast. Carry on.....

dynamic cooling during max qpf is how "we" snow with this one.....if we snow lol

just call me potty mouth.....

Money shot incoming on the GFS. CLASSIC early season track for next Tuesday....wowzers. verbatim, SE Pa on sideline, but the rest of the forum...enjoy. I'll be watching.

dont look now but the 12z gfs shows a high elevation slushfest for NC pa this weekend. Hybrid Miller B similarities w/ LP transfer. Wouldnt be suprised to see some whitening of the ground during intense rates being advertised. anticipation still looms for the next few panels for next Tues.

#consensus its gonna snow midweek cabin trip snowchasin. Anyone wanna go. hehe

i cant remember the last time it HASNT. Cant wish it away now, cause rain soon will turn to white gold........

I've not seen any of recent, but at this juncture a consensus of the smart folk saying it is all we can ask right. Being that the signals continue to grow at we approach mid November is great. High end low to low end moderate nino is looking likely and for these parts a snow lovers delight pattern wise. CPC's 11/4 update supports this http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf (pg 25 CFS v2 graph for you cliffnote folks ) Now we just need AO/NAO/EPO and a couple other tellies to line up to help... and if momma nature doesn't run outta water from all she's been using lately......were set. Nutter

FWIW, 0z GFS op says favored snow spots see a little flakage on the back side of the LP passage. Unfortunately verbatim, it wont happen during the storm as 850's are toast, and precip is gone by the time they become favorable. as is the norm, I'd think that during more intense precip rates, that column might just support catpaws in lucky spots. Regardless the outcome, its still fun to be taking about a nice system like this. Pattern is close, and were it 4 weeks later, i'd be moderately giddy.

thats just sexy talk right there. Ive been away from the boards, but am liking what I came back to in everything from the short medium and long leads. Baby steps gang but getting close enough to start thinking it could be the real deal.

yeah i see that, but am not sure we get the squally stuff that the gang is thinking. Looked earlier and didnt see much to my untrained eye.

happens every year. Late friday looks to chill down again in the LSV. I may see flakes Saturday.

I'll be in the USV, so I'll deal w/ it no matter...

Hope everyone is enjoying the nice fall weather. Headed to cabin this evening for the rest of the week to take in some tree time (bowhunting) and smell the leaves with family and friends. Looks like a great weekend upcoming as well. Enjoy all. Hoping we can start trackin soon. I'm ready. Nut

yep, the superstitious part of me wants no snow in Oct. Its a curse. Save it for when its supposed to snow. I can remember my buds going up to the poconos to rip around on sleds for an evening....just to say they rode before Halloween. I then remember like 3 months later still waiting for my first ride wishing i'da went with them as it might have been my only chance to ride that year..... bum mer!

I'll tell you what. Glad I'm a couple years past dressup for haloween. 534 thicknesszzz traversing rt 6 w/ 540's south of the MD line is going to make for some cold trick n treatin.... as that northern vort is lagging far enough behind to not help the weekend catpaw potential for most (save the laurels and N mountains like Meteo Mag alluded to), the system on its heels-Tues (if you were rooting on snow) would potentially show some surprises. Mind you this is just boredom and extrapolating verbatim happy hour GooFuS runs for the heck of it but it shows a coastal transfer with enough cold to get mood flakes on the backside for central and NE locals. No matter how the evolution pans out, its fun to be surfin model runs again. Looks active.

El nino has 75% likelihood of verifying.

baking soda dawn soap. like 3x. been there did that. it SUUCCKKKKS....... just like my Eagles!! #soreloseriam

My wife told me that there were flakes missing in (friends were posting on FB) during backend of frontal passage. Of course flood lights went on and I kept getting up during every 10 min. looking out the window for first catpaw confirmation....I saw none. Its nice to know I'm not alone with my passion for snow. Y'all make me feel......well......normal (ish). looks like late november weather is here for the week. Flakes are flying and a couple chances at ground whiteners in the typical spots. Enjoy your Sunday gang. Lots to do.....winters coming !!