snowman21

Forecasting a record is usually not a good idea. 101 at BDL? That's happened less than a dozen times in the 115 year history of the station. If you forecast 101 at BDL you are saying I think this will be one of the hottest days ever at a station whose all-time high is 103. There's a reason 100 is hard to reach around here. As a forecaster, you'd be better off just throwing up a 97 or 98 on days like these and taking your chances considering how hard it is to verify triple digits. When EWR was struggling I knew it was over LOL.

Most appear to have been replaced in the 2005-07 time frame, but they started as early as 2003 according to this schedule: https://www.weather.gov/media/asos/ASOS Implementation/IFW_stat.pdf

Why can't we trust wind obs? Cups and vanes were replaced by ultrasonic sensors 10-15 years ago.

It's not just summer. Cold winter nights for example are on the decline, and our first frost/freeze dates are pushing deeper and deeper into the fall.

Look on the bright side during the miserable heat and humidity: averages start ticking down in a week.

Yep. Most of the minutes lost have come as a result of sunrise being almost ten minutes later already, while the sun only sets a few minutes earlier today than it did at the solstice three weeks ago. The opposite happens in the fall when our earliest sunset is in early December, and by New Years you can already see the difference in the evening as you'll have tacked on ten minutes to the sunset even as sunrises are still bottoming out.

Trees have transitioned to leathery green leaves instead of regular green.

Sun is out now. Perhaps we can salvage a nice afternoon in SW CT.

Mid-70s in NYC. Talk about a blown forecast. Even this morning's OKX forecast only had mid-60s for a high. A 10 degree bust on a 12 hour forecast.

Then what do you do when 12z ticks back the other way? Ryan already had 3-6 basically to the CT/RI border and said stay tuned because things were trending towards a bigger hit. As it stands now, he can just drag that 3-6 purple shading 40 miles westward over New London County.

We've had a steady light snow for 2-3 hours here and still just a dusting and wet roads.

Have about a quarter inch here from that first little batch of snow. Basically a nice coating though in a lull at the moment.

First flakes here in Greenwich.

Snow showers here. Don't recall seeing any flakes in today's forecast.

Changed over here, so looks like we're done with snow.

Steady light snow here with a light dusting so far.

A few flakes starting to fly. May be just a stray flurry.

Feels like spring out there. 50s and soaking rain.

Light snow just getting going in Greenwich.

Rainfall rate may also preclude it from getting out of hand. If it's anything more than light intensity, most of what falls will go down storm drains as accretion becomes much less efficient.

You're attrubuting a single day of warmth in what has otherwise been a cold pattern to AGW? Makes sense.

NYC is basically a small chain link fenced in station in the middle of the trees with its wind sensor mounted atop the castle. There's a youtube video of a tour being given of the station, and anyone can wander around the park and stumble upon it. I think the NYC obs are less critical since it's not an airport, so there are no air traffic safety concerns (the primary reason for ASOS).

Blue sky and sun here now. The backlash was a half hour of rain/snow mix.

Nice January night out there. S+ with a steady breeze blowing the snow around.

2 1/4 inches so far in Greenwich