snowman21

Here is the same table in a standardized scale. Standard deviations taken from NCDC's 1981-2010 climate normals. Bottom grid (z-scores) is just the top grid divided by the middle grid.

Here are the departure splits between the highs and lows. This summer's departures were not driven by warm nights. In 9 of the 12 station-months, the high temperature departure was greater than the low temperature departure, and the number of days where the high was warmer relative to average compared to the low was also greater.

Without A/C units, how do you plan on surviving Torchtember?

That's the gift that keeps on giving the whole year.

Wow that forecast really going out on a limb there. 75% of falls going back 20 years are above normal.

Hard to cool off at night anymore.

Might have. At the SNE climate sites there were upper-90s in September in 2018, also in 2015, and 2013.

Nice early fall feel out there today. Cool this morning, and now sunny with temps slowly climbing through the 70s at midday.

Keep in mind we're losing 3 minutes of daylight per day, means are declining, sun angle is rapidly declining. It's not just about the pattern. There's a reason climo is climo, and even the mighty BDL 'mac has trouble getting to 90 after about the 23rd of August. If Ryan's 10-day is right, which takes us to the last week of August, yesterday and today are critical for BDL breaking the record. If you're expecting a late summer like '83 or '73 then yeah I guess it doesn't matter and we'll blow past the record, but I wouldn't bet on it.

90-degree days at BDL: 1983 38 2002 35 2020 34 2010 34 1965 34 2018 32 1966 32 2016 31 1991 31 1988 30 1973 30

BDL has to get to #35 today or it'll be like the Sox 5 1/2 out with 12 to play against Yanks, Rays, and Jays.

But even in this climate BDL isn't putting up big 90+ numbers in September. We have to be at 36 or 37 by the end of this month to have a real shot and next week isn't looking good. Sneaking in that extra day tomorrow will be important. Expecting more than a couple of 90+ days in September even in this climate is asking a lot. Normal at BDL I think is 0.7 days and we've averaged 2.2 over the past decade despite how warm Septembers have been.

Maybe we get a cool wet September with lots of mostly cloudy 54/74 type days at BDL. Eventually we have to have a September that's not all blow torch all the time.

Take the under. Gonna be tough enough just to tie.

Starts getting tough after the 20th. Should get at least three more this week, which means we'd need five more. BDL has had five 90-degree days after August 20th ten times in its history. Septembers have been blowtorches for the past couple of decades, and even with that BDL has only averaged 2.2 90-degree days in the last ten Septembers with as many as five in 2015. 1983 had nine 90-degree days in September.

8 more to break the record of 38 set in 1983.

The only "nice summer weather" in SNE is on the shoreline where high temperatures average in the upper-70s to near 80 this time of year.

They said they had out of state help coming during yesterday's press conference, and that they expected to double the number of crews "in 24 hours or shortly after."

Interesting. I wondered why there always seemed to be crews from Iowa in Connecticut whenever something like this happens. I guess that's not a coincidence if the pay is really good.

From the press conference today it sounded like they just dropped the ball. Eversource said they didn't even really have an accurate forecast because as of Friday when they started preparing the storm was forecast to "go up the west coast of Florida."

At the gov's presser today he was bewildered as to why Eversource did not pre-position crews, so my guess is the crews just weren't distributed throughout the state until late today, and they may still be trying to work their way into the harder hit areas. It's the same story with every widespread outage. They always say they will learn lessons from things like Sandy or the October snowstorm which was almost a decade ago already, but they never seem to. They've got the pushing rate increases through PURA down pat though. They're awesome at jacking up the delivery charges, just not so great at the delivery part.

You'd be crazy to ever drive it in anything other than good weather. I know DOT has done a ton of trimming in recent times, but trees come done quite easily.

Winds less than 10 mph right now I'd say with the sun trying to make an appearance. Pretty quiet the last hour. Let's see if the backside has anything in store or is this it?

Feels like things are stepping down here the last 15 mins or so. Isaias now passing our latitude.

Already in effect 4 hours ago at least in southern CT.