snowman21

HPN has been 1/4 mile visibility in heavy snow for three straight hours. Think they are just shy on the wind gusts though.

This band means business. Visibility <1/4 mile at this point.

In their discussion they said confidence wasn't high enough for three straight hours of <1/4 mile visibility and frequent wind gusts over 35. Blizzard warnings don't seem to have a high verification rate.

Can't believe the snow is having such a tough time moving north. Almost an inch here after several hours of light snow.

Snow has started here

First flakes in Greenwich CT

Public schools and some universities require proof of vaccinations to attend, so we've always had a vaccine passport.

Getting some bigger flakes now. A steady light snow now with a little dusting on the roof.

Very light snow beginning here.

Very light snow here now - tiny flakes that are hard to see.

Models kind of do this through MOS. It's not machine-learning, but they can account for their own biases in the output. If you're looking for something that knows that NAM is always too NW with low center placement in winter, well that's basically what the humans are for, and there's a published catalog of known model biases on one of the national center sites.

Poor Philly on that snow map. From 12+ to zero.

Some of those higher end numbers are silly because that's the only number people will remember, and for a storm that's gonna be truckin', it's gonna be tough to put down widespread totals much over a foot I think. A foot is still a lot of snow. For our state, I would probably say 6-10 or 8-12 and mention localized amounts 4 inches higher than the top number (i.e. 14 or 16).

Connecticut is a two hour drive from Philly. You don't have to go all the way to northern New England to get in on the action.

Virtually everyone is saying rain/snow coast right now. OKX seems in line with that thinking at this time range. You're splitting hairs on a D6 forecast that they may have just kept the default grids without wasting any time tweaking something that's going to change a bunch of times anyway.

I believe it. Stronger winds than Isaias for about 5 minutes.

S45G60 at Norwalk Harbor

I think so. They should just get it over with and move to Florida. CoC, outdoor dining, and t-shirts year round!

Yeah last year at this time was cold. 30s for highs even in CT. Nice little 40 degree difference from a year ago. Normals at MVL are 43-46/26-28 during that period. The chart would yield 4 warm days, 3 cool ones with a +1 departure from the week beginning Thursday.

Those are still above normal temps for MVL even if you take it from Thursday onwards.

We'll never forget Derek Lowe's no-hitter against the Rays.

But the fact of the matter is you still have to go through the application process. The only thing that has changed this year is some states mailed applications to every registered voter and/or made Covid-19 a valid reason to request an absentee ballot in states that require an excuse (Connecticut is one such state). There's no issue with mail ballots or voter fraud in general. This has been studied to death. You will consume more parts per million of cockroach in your food today than there are fraudulent ballots being cast.

You're talking about universal mail in ballots where they send every registered voter a ballot automatically. There are only a handful of states, mainly out west where population is sparse, that have the ability to conduct their elections entirely by mail ballot. Absentee ballots, which you must request, are mailed in as well. They are both mail ballots in that they need to be mailed back. 80% of states have a mail (absentee) ballot system that works the same way as Florida's which Trump promoted as a safe and secure way to vote as he did. The insecurity of mail ballots is a fiction ginned up for this election. The states that have been doing universal mail ballots have done so with no problem for decades, and the rest of the states have done it the absentee way since the Civil War.

Why would you even bother? Seems like his lawyers either don't get paid or end up in jail.

There is only one real party - the republican party. Then there's this other group of disorganized feckless politicians who call themselves democrats who literally don't know what day of the week it is much less formulate coherent political strategy. Because like pandemic response, we have 50 different governments, all doing their own thing. If we had one uniform system across the country, like every other country in the world, this wouldn't be such a mess every other November.