I really think this is being underplayed in the Triad by local mets and NWS. HP in perfect position. Temps and DP in single digits over western PA this morning with strong CAD signal on all models. They do have WWA in place but I could see this one being just as bad as Jan storm in WS proper which was pretty dang bad especially for northern Forsyth.
40th anniversary of PD1 today! Tremendous CAD with that storm. Temps between 10 and 15, strong NE flow. Caught a lot of people of guard.
https://ocean.weather.gov/2-PresidentsDayStormColloquium_Uccellini.pdf
Yeah probably less and 1 in 10 of these ever produce much. Only ones I can recall are Jan 78, Jan 85 (super outbreak), Jan 99, and Jan 02(or 03 cant remember which). So, yes not getting my hopes up.
Welp, saw lightning twice while driving home from work this evening. You know what that means?!?
It has as much chance verifying as any model right now...
Not too worried where I am IMBY. Sleet saves me virtually every time with the thickness of this cold air. Quick hitter too. Along I85 all bets are off however...