CentralNC

I'm with ya. Remember it well.

Still I have seen that kind of wording before and will sit there and ride 31/32 at my location for a couple more hours than they anticipate.

"everyone" is a big group but I would think anyone north and west of I-85 will see at least a little sleet. But this is predominately a ZR scenario outside of the mtns.

I think we end up with high-end nuisance event for us here in the Triad. My location usually does pretty well with these....depending on the dry slot.

I believe this is the one you reference young Skywalker https://projects.ncsu.edu/atmos_collaboration/nwsfo/storage/cases/maps/accum.20171209.png

Solid light snow here in Lewisville.

A very few flakes here in Lewisville.

Man, you are usually my western outpost that gives me some hope. Bummer!

Dont rush, we are not going to get much in the triad.

Robert just posted on FB what I already suspected. Downslope screw zone here.

Yeah i'm not really feeling it here in the western piedmont. Check out DT's FB first call. I think he has way to much in western piedmont and foothills of NC.

Blacksburg REALLY unimpressed NCZ020-201100- Yadkin- Including the city of Yadkinville 401 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020 .TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Cooler with lows in the mid 30s. Light and variable winds. .THURSDAY...Rain, cooler. Near steady temperature in the mid 30s. Light and variable winds, becoming northeast around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 90 percent. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Cooler with lows in the lower 20s. Light and variable winds, becoming north around 10 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Somebody might as well starts the OBS thread since the party not too far away.

I'm sticking with my 1-2 sloppy inches here in the western piedmont until I see evidence to suggest otherwise.

18z NAM has to be viewed as an outlier at this point but bears watching!

Isn't crazy a precondition to be on this board in the first place..?

Well that was fun. Light rain from high above downtown W-S

One things for sure. I am done reading "Winter Outlooks" from anyone whether it's a Met or not. It's such a crapshoot and personally don't want to get my hopes up again.

I lived through it. It's real. Had a winter storm warning in Jan 1992 that ended up being a virga storm. But yeah, it was a rough period.

That would be a good dump of cold air if it happens.

Usually here in the triad I dont know if you call it over-performance but it is usually under-forecasted. This one really fooled me. Any time the HP is not locked in place our CAD just fades away at showtime and this was the case here in the piedmont. When I saw E winds last night instead of NE I pretty much knew it was game/set/match. Never even made it to freezing here but we got a slight slushy covering last evening due to about 2 hours of wet snow/sleet mix.

You need 20s to get significant travel issues but not tree damage or power outages. During the January storm here, I think lowest northern part of Forsyth got was 31 degrees but we had HUGE amounts of trees down and power out for multiple days for thousands.

Agree on Wake county area. Whole different story here in the triad I believe.