mahk_webstah
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Everything posted by mahk_webstah
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that is without a doubt north with the snow. We are screwed, here comes the sleet. It'll probably be worse than that. The 6" snow line jumped a good 30-40 miles n and w. Not the trend i was hoping for.
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That’s an improvement over 6Z, and if what that means is 4-6 inches of snow up our way and then some sleep on top and a glaze then that’s fine. Then we see which way Thursday and Friday trend and we could still be doing nice by the weekend.
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Am I understanding that the trend so far at 12Z is colder surface and maybe aloft on the Nam, and warmer surface and maybe aloft on the GFS. Is the other guidance picking a camp yet?
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Good luck to her, and to you.
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lets see what the new version says.
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I thought you were talking about the late week deal
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well we still have a few days to see how it evolves...
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Thanks for interpreting that for me. The pack will certainly be solidified in any event and then we see about Thursday-Friday.
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ugghhh so nobody wins. we don't stay snow and you get a bad ice storm. I hate those, despite the beauty.
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Is this regarding only surface temperatures or is it aloft colder as well?
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Well I'm just a hopeful weenie...you are an expert so we hope for good trends today
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But the nam tends to run warm, no? if it gets to CON we don't have but a half hour. Maybe it'll get stuck at hookset
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Thanks Steve, as usual hoping for a good thump first. But .8 seems reasonable and that is so close with the warmth aloft
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Yes and maybe a trend to get the Monday stuff heavier. Is it a two part storm with a period of fluffy snow Monday pm, then a pause then some wetter snow Tuesday am which changes to mix before ending?
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But the older I get the more onboard I am for warm early springs
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I'd like the nao to keep echoing for a few more weeks so that it is finally defeated before back door season. Probably we get one big march snowstorm this year in one of those pulses
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I don't think it is over yet on that panel at least for up here
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The euro is really holding its ground d for mostly snow for the north of CON to LEW line. GYX hedging towards those warmer models a little bit and has a really good forecast that allows for many possibilities but makes it clear it will be impactf ul.
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Kinda sad about the ice. I was hoping to enjoy another week or two of snow. Oh well, we’ll see how it trends today. Don’t have much hopefully, when those warming temperature aloft start showing up on guidance they usually come even if the service verifies colder.
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Didn’t think this one would go to shite but so it may be.
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basically my wunderground has been between 12 and 18 for about 5 days. My over under is 15. Euro looks like WPCs qpf numbers.
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the gulf is open for bidness
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I clearly have not been following that one closely enough. But yeah we know those types of changeover scenarios...a nice heavy thump then a big of sleet and drizzle.
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I would think this would trend a bit colder no? We'll see about the pellets, but anyhow should be 2 warning level events. I've been watching the WPC Qpf all week and it has been trending upwards. I want to enjoy a few days of deep pack before spring comes.
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Man the new WPC QPF is getting higher for NNE. For Dendrite-land it looks like maybe .75 for the Monday Tuesday deal and then 1.25 for the Thurs Fri deal. With any help on ratios, which we might get, that is 2 feet in about 4 days.
