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mahk_webstah

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Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. Yes, that shows the IVT coming all the way up here which is possible with the right alignment and a strong trough
  2. Yikes. 6z euro AI suppresses the 11th and 12th and then the next one after that. Everything looks less robust.
  3. I’ve been watching the euro AI for two weeks now a couple of times a day. For someone who’s not a meteorologist, and given the good scores of this model, it just gives me a very simple to see output twice a day to get a sense of where things are headed.
  4. Euro AI looks good especially for southern and central New England. As it develops the storm off of the central jersey coast, it seems to go straight east. I’d prefer to see it move a little more east northeast and into the Gulf Maine, but I don’t know what the other models are showing.
  5. Wunderground for here keeps increasing. Now 5-8, but nws is 1-3. What models is Wunderground using? I expect nws to win that battle but clearly some uncertainties and wildcards abound
  6. Euro AI just out and I think the 10th and 11th look better and interesting. And then a few days later the transfer to the coast happens on the low moves just south of Long Island towards the east. The next one for the 18th and 19th still looks like a cutter with a strong primary, but there is a surface reflection clearer now than it was yesterday on the coast. At least that’s how I interpreted it.
  7. You can’t regret something that you don’t have any control over . maybe you are regretting your hope
  8. Wunderground bumped me up to almost 3. So maybe this is slightly amping
  9. Well glad there are some possibilities, but we are slowly and steadily moving to the time of year when I prefer big storms to smaller pack builders. But we’ll see. in the end It doesn’t really matter compared to everything else in my life that has my attention, and of course we have no control over it anyhow
  10. Looked at euro AI, WPC before I looked here. prospects have worsened I think.
  11. What I like about next weekend is there’s been a signal for quite a while now. Probably something decent but uncertain and the euro AI got worse, showing a Miller a sliding off the southeast and middle Atlantic coast although a strong system. But I’m also interested in the 10-11th because euro AI got markedly better with that.
  12. New euro ai 6 z 10-11 look better particularly sne cne 13-14 looks very nice 18th shows a strong primary way north Northwest over the Midwest and then into southern Canada with no strong secondary popping. That’s a big shift.
  13. I noticed that the euro AI is also good. Gets a 992 primary into Michigan though but pops coastal s of LI to 993 at MV and then lingers and eventually goes e ast from GOM.
  14. Interesting distribution of QPF. Maybe high ratios?
  15. Trends on euro AI look good for next week. I’ve been looking at it once or twice a day for about a week now. Also looks like maybe an inverted trough for Friday night and Saturday maybe a small event the 10th 11th and then a bigger one a couple of days later
  16. Looks to me like euro ai got worse, more cutterish for 14-15th with strong primary Midwest and redevelopment later and on gulf of maine
  17. Saw that on euro AI. Evolution of Feb 13-15 was interesting
  18. Are you suggesting that we just fill it in maybe with concrete or something?
  19. Euro AI not too interested in 5-6th except frontal squalls I think. Clipper on the 10th and then swfe string redeveloper 14-15th. Looks like high pressure holds to our north.
  20. I remember that scenario from I think 2023 or was it 2022. I did look at the euro AI which has a couple of minor events until something potentially bigger towards the 15th or 14th maybe. Then something that looks like it wants to cut on the 16th or 17th.
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