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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Same. Saw apocalyptic clouds directly overhead, but some sun breaking through from the west. Knew right then it wasn’t happening. But it was close. Missed by a couple miles
  2. Terpeast
    92/74/102 Pacing a few degrees behind yesterday. Likely topping out at 95, give or take a degree
  3. Terpeast
    Looks like this morning’s mesos want to create another DC split today
  4. Terpeast
    this one initiated right over my house and moved NE. I got a trace. Those who got rain from this - you’re welcome.
  5. Terpeast
    Cloud cover overhead from incoming storms (whether I get rain or not is a big IF). Think I'm done climbing temps for today. Max 99.5, highest observed heat index was 112 (I got the 115 figure from a second obs nearby, but I'll throw that out as an outlier).
  6. Terpeast
    So far 99.5 is my high. Some stations in the ashburn area have reached 100
  7. Terpeast
    Notice how clear it is over northern Loudoun county
  8. Terpeast
    Fall short of EHW criteria? According to some obs west of 95 to around route 15, we already reached that. I think the EHW was justified. Nearest reporting 98.8/76.9. HI 115
  9. Terpeast
    97/77, HI 112. Wow IAD fell back to 94 at latest obs though
  10. Terpeast
    94/76, feels like 107. Probably will hit 110 HI sometime this afternoon today
  11. Terpeast
    88/76, HI already 100
  12. Terpeast
    Cluster weakened as it passed over me, but it still produced winds strong enough to give trees a good shaking and even tossed a garbage bin across the street. And… it rained pretty good. We needed this.
  13. Terpeast
    So far just gusty winds
  14. Terpeast
    This looks like the best opportunity for my area all year.
  15. Terpeast
    You were right. IAD went higher despite early cloud cover because of the local drought
  16. Terpeast
    Gray wall of rain less than a mile away. So tantalizingly close
  17. Terpeast
    big anvil cloud passing just to my north. Still sunny here. Probably another miss EDIT: just stepped outside and looked directly upwind. All clear skies.
  18. Terpeast
    High of 98 so far, sitting at 97/74. HI 108. If I wanted to use a sauna right now, I could just sit outside.
  19. Terpeast
    Skies starting to clear out. Temps to make one last push toward upper 90s soon
  20. Terpeast
    I think at this point it’s safe to throw out the BoM model altogether for this year.
  21. Terpeast
    Nearest station maxed at 95.5. Now sitting at 93/73.
  22. Terpeast
    Up to 91 so far here. Still mostly cloudy.
  23. Terpeast
    It’s 84 at IAD at 10 am, yesterday was 81 at the same time. Unless it clears up fast, we’re on pace to only hit 95. Thinking 96-97 is a realistic forecast.
  24. Terpeast
    Lots of cloudiness that may affect high temps and tstorm chances. I fully expect to get little or no rain, so my only question is whether 98 is too bullish
  25. Terpeast
    Gotcha, thanks. I’m exploring various enso-related indices and like you said, it is a lot of work. With my day job not related to met and raising a kid, I might just go with the MEI for my research/2024 winter outlook and call it a day.
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