adelphi_sky
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Everything posted by adelphi_sky
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It's the trends friends. Add up the small nudges for the next 24 hours and we got snow!
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At least it would cut down on the confusion and false hope. lol
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When I asked for model porn, I thought I said a few days ago. This is not model porn from a few days ago. I just got out of a meeting and saw over 30 posts. I figured people were happy with the old stuff. Come to find out the NAM is our Pimp.
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Can someone post the model porn we saw 4 days ago? If we are pretending, we need some visuals.
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Isn't this what normal models are supposed to do? Extrapolate?
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Where are the shadowlands?
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I have a teacher friend who loaded up on snacks for the storm. Going to tell her to prepare to go to work all week.
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Apparently if we are cold, we're dry and it snows to the south of us. When we're at normal temps, we get better chances of snow but battle mixing. When we have warm winters, it's rain and nothing.
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We failed last spring in terms of thunderstorms. I don't recall very many severe events last spring.
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Huntsville, AL will get more snow than Boston on that run.
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It's not too late to get at least 6". I've experienced Mets having to up their totals DURING a storm. Models could say 0 and you end up with 3.
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Exactly. I have become increasingly frustrated with that feature. Just ask it to draw a poster with words on it. AI for weather is a great idea, but I still think we're at least a decade away from it leading the pack in accurate weather prediction.
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I think a YOLO thread is refreshing. Throwing caution to the wind. Riding that train right on off the tracks.
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Damn straight. .
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Please be the start of a trend! .
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The fact that the IntelliVision still turns on is a nod to its build quality. Hehe .
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Tennis bubble light are swinging. Kids getting spooked. 6 year old said is this the snow storm. [emoji1787] .
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Hmmmmm. Son has a tennis class in a tennis bubble in 30 minutes. Hope the winds aren't too strong. Should be an interesting class.
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It's good to find confirmation in your thoughts. Would be nice if LWX chimed in with the same thoughts.
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Same here. I told my son to go out for a run and to layer up. Then I looked that the temp and was like, never mind. You're good. lol
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Looks like I may get clipped by the tail end of that line. WE'll see.
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This is where machine learning can help. But the amount of weather data involved would require a HUGE learning model. It would also be interesting why we more often see snow on a model and wake up to no snow more often than we see no snow and wake up to a warning level event. I guess no precipitation is easier to forecast than none?
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A once in a century rug pull. That sounds about right for the area. lol
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We have witnessed models trending better less than 24 hours before a storm. There's still room for progressive shifts in the right direction. We may not get the 20" but there's still time to hit that elusive 10" snow. Let's just hope that the best data gets injected into these models soon so there is a better picture.
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My son and I snow chased at Ocean City the last time they got a foot. We drove back to DC the morning after and there was no snow on the ground. Had fun though. Got a cheap hotel room with an atrium covered pool area.
