Apparently if we are cold, we're dry and it snows to the south of us. When we're at normal temps, we get better chances of snow but battle mixing. When we have warm winters, it's rain and nothing.
Exactly. I have become increasingly frustrated with that feature. Just ask it to draw a poster with words on it. AI for weather is a great idea, but I still think we're at least a decade away from it leading the pack in accurate weather prediction.
This is where machine learning can help. But the amount of weather data involved would require a HUGE learning model. It would also be interesting why we more often see snow on a model and wake up to no snow more often than we see no snow and wake up to a warning level event. I guess no precipitation is easier to forecast than none?
We have witnessed models trending better less than 24 hours before a storm. There's still room for progressive shifts in the right direction. We may not get the 20" but there's still time to hit that elusive 10" snow. Let's just hope that the best data gets injected into these models soon so there is a better picture.
My son and I snow chased at Ocean City the last time they got a foot. We drove back to DC the morning after and there was no snow on the ground. Had fun though. Got a cheap hotel room with an atrium covered pool area.
I really appreciate these animations. It helps to see the progression and how each piece is interacting with each other and why. Helps to understand why the snow maps look the way they do.