Saving grace is that whatever falls will hang around. Also, easier to shovel. I think 6” is doable and would make most of us happy. Still interested to see how this low battles these true arctic highs. .
Traffic cams in the south should be interesting with the ice. I got caught in a YouTube algo feed a few weeks ago of winter driving videos. Those highway pileups are horrifying. I watched that before heading to Niagara Falls in December during that ice storm in PA and NY.
I thought we couldn't trust the NAM? Is the NAM like the girlfriend you can't quit? You know she's bad for you, but you keep her number and call her every now and then?
I'm getting dizzy. Some models have a n/s orientation of the snow and others like this have an e/w orientation. Assume the n/s models have a low off the cost and the e/w have just overrunning?
Haven't the models recently been underplaying cold the past few weeks? Or have they been generally accurate. I recall convos about forecasts busting low. Are we expecting the models to have the temps correct on the high side for this storm for mixing? Even if there is a warm nose. Could that be accurate? Or would it be something that could only be determined at game time?
Is the mix sleet and snow? If so, I still think it's a win. I for one like an ice cap on top of snow that will freeze over for a week or two. Still a win/win.
I am excited that the what falls won't melt away in three days. Give me enough to make everything white and then freeze it for a week. My dream winter.
It comes down to does the GFS lead trends or follows? But I think going from around an inch of QPF to zilch in one run? Would this be the mother of all blips when other models are consistent?