tamarack

3" more by 11:30 to reach 20, and it's still accumulating. Power came on just before 10, so 5 hours on the genny. New blower was out straight trying to move this sticky stuff; more work to do but the machine ran out of gas about the same time I did. Shovel work was nasty - unless I banged on the handle as I threw, half of the load would stay on the blade.

It would take another 12/25/2020 to do that, and there would be a lot more snowmelt to increase flooding this time.

Finally, a report from northern Oxford - 20.0" of 9:1 at Andover. Top 5 atm: 20.0" Andover 17.5" Farmington 4.2NW 17.0" MBY 6.8" Palmyra (one town west from Skowhegan) 6.1" Abbot (3 towns south from Greenville) Strange distribution. Edit: New #5 - 6.5" in North Berwick, western York County. If there's an observer in Parsonsfield (NW-most town of York) we'd likely see a 12"+.

Latitude too (along with miles from saltwater) as I'm not that much higher than your place - couple hundred feet? Biggest storm since 19.9" on 3/7-9/2018, and we may get past that one as well.

Not far from that here at 390' - had 17.0" at 7 AM (1.83" LE) with light-mod SN continuing. Last check of cocorahs had the observer from the NW part of Farmington at 17.5" and 3rd place was only 6.8". No reports from Temple (at 1220') nor northern Oxford (Bethel, et al) but it looks like that county and Franklin got the real stuff. Genny kicked on at 4:56 this morning and 30 minutes ago CMP was at 40k outages. Will be a worthy debut for the new snowblower.

I should've known. GYX jinxed itself by dropping their 10-16 forecast for here down to 8-12 yesterday afternoon, though they would've busted low even withe earlier number. Had 17.0" of 9:1 sticky snow (1.83" LE) at 7 AM with light-mod snow continuing - biggest snowfall since 3/7-9/2018 and 3 more inches would top that one. Trees are extra loaded, and we went to generator just before 5 AM. My first check of Maine cocorahs totals had our 17" with 2nd highest a mere 6.8", which seemed very odd. Recheck a few minutes later showed an observer from the NW part of Farmington with 17.5". Places like Temple, Bethel, Bridgton haven't sent in their reports yet.

GYX just chopped our 10-16 forecast to around 8-12. Not surprised, given how long the snow took to get here. Even 8" would be very nice.

Maybe 1/4" here.

Light SN arrived about 2:30. Some nice parachutes but not many at present.

Still waiting. There's been echoes overhead since late morning but nothing has reached the ground since some tiny mood flakes about 11 AM.

Tops here isn't much higher - 16" in 2018 thanks to that day's 8" of pow. Only 2 other years had more than 10" - 13" in 2012 and 14" the next year. Tallest anywhere was 30" in Fort Kent, 12/25/83.

It's into York County - had a few 1"+ reports, 7 AM cocorahs. Just a dusting here, with a few tiny flakes drifting by as dry air is eating the rest.

Temp never went down during the overnight, makes me wonder if the current 12-18 forecast is an overreach. Dusting has slightly lightened the color of the ground, though I don't see anything coming down atm.

Maine's tallest snow depth is 94", at Chimney Pond in 2017. No competition for Pinkham Notch in Feb 1969 (164") but quite respectable. Most I've measured was 80", at Big 20 Twp on 3/15/84.

Farmington was 9-14-17 four hours ago; liking the trend. Snowfall Totals by Location Experimental - Leave feedback 12/15/2022 0700PM to 12/18/2022 0100AM What's this? County: All Selected -- ME -- Androscoggin, ME Cumberland, ME Franklin, ME Kennebec, ME Knox, ME Lincoln, ME Oxford, ME Sagadahoc, ME Somerset, ME Waldo, ME York, ME -- NH -- Belknap, NH Carroll, NH Cheshire, NH Coos, NH Grafton, NH Hillsborough, NH Merrimack, NH Rockingham, NH Strafford, NH Sullivan, NH Location Snow Amount Potential Chance of Seeing More Snow Than Low End Snowfall Expected Snowfall High End Snowfall >=0.1" >=1" >=2" >=4" >=6" >=8" >=12" >=18" Portland, ME 0 <1 4 50% 41% 30% 14% 5% 1% 0% 0% Lewiston, ME 4 12 15 94% 93% 90% 83% 74% 62% 31% 2% Augusta, ME 3 11 14 93% 91% 88% 80% 69% 55% 23% 0% Farmington, ME 11 17 20 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 94% 77% 23% Bath, ME 0 2 6 57% 49% 41% 23% 11% 4% 0% 0% Rockland, ME 0 <1 4 48% 38% 27% 12% 4% 1% 0% 0% Manchester, NH 0 2 4 65% 53% 38% 14% 3% 0% 0% 0% Nashua, NH 0 <1 2 46% 23% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Concord, NH <1 5 9 88% 83% 76% 58% 38% 21% 3% 0% Portsmouth, NH 0 <1 1 41% 16% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Keene, NH 2 5 11 97% 94% 89% 74% 55% 37% 12% 1% Rochester, NH 0 4 8 79% 73% 64% 45% 26% 12% 1% 0% North Conway, NH 12 18 21 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 85% 36% Laconia, NH 5 11 14 99% 98% 97% 92% 82% 67% 26% 0% Lebanon, NH 9 13 17 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 89% 59% 9% Berlin, NH 11 15 20 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 78% 23%

And that's without most of the 3-7" currently forecast here for Saturday.

Current forecast for Farmington, considerably higher than last evening's version: Today Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Tonight A 20 percent chance of snow after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Friday Snow, mainly after 11am. High near 31. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Friday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 28. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Saturday Snow before 1pm, then rain and snow between 1pm and 5pm, then snow after 5pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 34. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Saturday Night Snow showers likely before 7pm, then rain and snow showers likely between 7pm and 8pm, then snow showers likely after 8pm. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Farther east: County: All Selected -- ME -- Androscoggin, ME Cumberland, ME Franklin, ME Kennebec, ME Knox, ME Lincoln, ME Oxford, ME Sagadahoc, ME Somerset, ME Waldo, ME York, ME -- NH -- Belknap, NH Carroll, NH Cheshire, NH Coos, NH Grafton, NH Hillsborough, NH Merrimack, NH Rockingham, NH Strafford, NH Sullivan, NH Location Snow Amount Potential Chance of Seeing More Snow Than Low End Snowfall Expected Snowfall High End Snowfall >=0.1" >=1" >=2" >=4" >=6" >=8" >=12" >=18" Portland, ME 0 <1 4 54% 43% 30% 12% 3% 1% 0% 0% Lewiston, ME 3 10 12 94% 92% 88% 78% 64% 46% 6% 0% Augusta, ME 4 10 11 96% 94% 91% 81% 66% 46% 3% 0% Farmington, ME 8 14 17 100% 100% 100% 98% 95% 88% 59% 9% Bath, ME 0 2 5 61% 50% 37% 16% 4% 1% 0% 0% Rockland, ME 0 <1 2 42% 27% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% Manchester, NH 0 2 5 71% 60% 46% 21% 6% 1% 0% 0% Nashua, NH 0 <1 3 55% 37% 19% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% Concord, NH 2 8 9 91% 87% 82% 66% 46% 23% 0% 0% Portsmouth, NH 0 <1 1 44% 20% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Keene, NH 2 6 10 96% 94% 89% 73% 51% 27% 3% 0% Rochester, NH 0 6 8 83% 77% 70% 52% 31% 14% 1% 0% North Conway, NH 11 15 20 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 79% 28% Laconia, NH 6 13 14 99% 98% 97% 93% 85% 72% 33% 0% Lebanon, NH 7 11 14 100% 100% 99% 98% 92% 80% 34% 1% Berlin, NH 9 13 19 100% 100% 100% 99% 98% 93% 66% 17% If this were to verify (and my town's forecast mirrors that for Farmington), it would be our biggest snowfall since March of 2018.

IIRC, there was a few days when the Euro and GFS would be slammer/OTS one run then OTS/slammer the next. One could get whiplash following the changes.

But the best storms have the sharp cutoff east of Matinicus (and still pound SR and the 'Loaf).

And it's pretty skinny even up there after several RA events, unless one can start above 1000'. Deepest depth on this morning's cocorahs was 3.5" at New Sweden. PQI was next with 2", all of which came from the retro.

Numbers from GYX - still lots of time for them to be scrambled. County: All Selected -- ME -- Androscoggin, ME Cumberland, ME Franklin, ME Kennebec, ME Knox, ME Lincoln, ME Oxford, ME Sagadahoc, ME Somerset, ME Waldo, ME York, ME -- NH -- Belknap, NH Carroll, NH Cheshire, NH Coos, NH Grafton, NH Hillsborough, NH Merrimack, NH Rockingham, NH Strafford, NH Sullivan, NH Location Snow Amount Potential Chance of Seeing More Snow Than Low End Snowfall Expected Snowfall High End Snowfall >=0.1" >=1" >=2" >=4" >=6" >=8" >=12" >=18" Portland, ME 0 0 1 47% 22% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Lewiston, ME 2 5 5 93% 87% 76% 37% 0% 0% 0% 0% Augusta, ME 2 5 5 97% 92% 82% 38% 0% 0% 0% 0% Farmington, ME 5 10 11 99% 98% 96% 89% 74% 52% 5% 0% Bath, ME 0 <1 <1 40% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Rockland, ME 0 <1 <1 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Manchester, NH 0 0 2 48% 31% 17% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% Nashua, NH 0 0 1 30% 12% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Concord, NH 0 3 5 83% 72% 57% 23% 4% 0% 0% 0% Portsmouth, NH 0 0 <1 12% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Keene, NH 1 3 7 96% 90% 79% 48% 22% 7% 0% 0% Rochester, NH 0 1 3 65% 48% 29% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% North Conway, NH 8 13 15 100% 100% 99% 97% 93% 83% 43% 0% Laconia, NH 2 3 7 99% 96% 87% 51% 20% 5% 0% 0% Lebanon, NH 4 7 10 100% 99% 98% 90% 68% 35% 1% 0% Berlin, NH 6 9 12 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 12% 0%

GYX has our area in the 8-12" color at present - the "90%/most-likely/10%" for Farmington is 5/10/11. N. Conway is tops on that list with 6/13/15. (The mix/RA isn't too far away - RKD number is 0/0/>0.1".)

Kinnelon, where I lived 1950-71, reported 2.5" to cocorahs, so they're a tenth ahead.

2.2" on 11/16, only 0.2" since then but also 4 RA events totaling 3.35". Getting out-snowed by NNJ.