tamarack
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Everything posted by tamarack
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Hoping for a bit of real winter cold - maybe enough to kill off some hemlock wooly adelgids and moose ticks. Minus 3 (currently season's coldest) won't get it done.
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6.6" with 0.55" LE, lots easier to snowblow than the 9:1 dump last month. 16" at the stake and deep blue sky with a few tiny clouds. Spectacular day
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6.6" of 12:1 pow. The final 1.5" was especially fluffy. Brings us to an inch above YTD average.
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Still wondering if we ever get deep winter cold. Least coldest winter temp here was -10 in 2005-06 and 19 of 24 winters has gotten down to at least -20. 2001-02 had its coldest max at 16, 2nd least cold is 12 in 2005-06. So far, our low here is -3 (may challenge that Sunday morning) and coldest max 20.
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Still some tiny flakes in the air but accum is done, 6.5" with ratio of 12.5-to-1. 1st 5" was 11:1 but daytime feathers added 1.5" of 21:1 fluff. 17" at the stake. Edit: Good to see the Maine coast getting into the act. Also saw 6.6" at the Jetport, time of obs not shown.
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We ma be almost done here, as the best echoes are now moving ESE rather than east.
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What stands out to me is that every single day had AN max and AN min - only one low was <5° AN.
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Started here a bit before midnight and had 5" of 11:1 pow by 7 AM, maybe 1.5" since with continuing light SN, safely in the 5-9 forecast. Trees are loaded thanks to little wind (increasing a bit now) but no danger to trees thanks to the good ratio.
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We're in the 8-12 color, too, but P&C adds up to 5-9 and Farmington 90/50/10 percents are 5/8/11. Lots better than yesterday's estimates.
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Here it's just over 10:1 for 98-99 thru 21-22. It was 10.5 going into 18-19 and that winter plus the next 2 have the lowest ratios of any of the 24. 20-21 was the nadir, at 6.5-to-1. The season's biggest storm, 9.5" on Feb 2, was all snow at mid-upper 20s with 1.35" LE for a 7.2:1 ratio. Lousy dendrites or something; places to the south (including NNJ and NYC) had better ratios.
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Not for here, and the NAM map that PF posted shows the good stuff remaining to my south, leaving the Route 2 corridor with advisory snows, maybe 3-4". All snow is good snow, but that amount would be right on the threshold for snowblow/no snoblow. (Unless it's 6:1 paste, which would need to go.)
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Very similar here, with some latitudinal advantage - total was 142.3", tops here since 98-99. Only dd's were 12.5" and 10.7", with 19 other events 3"-9.5".
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This date in 2018, it might've been closer to 18". Had 7-8" on Flying Pond on 1/9, expect to see 9-10 if I get out there tomorrow - fish might be hungry with the falling bar.
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Last 2 seasons totaled 119.6", or 59.8" per year against an average of 89.5" - almost exactly 2/3. According to the snow table, Mt. Tolland had 113.3", or 56.65". I suspect that's more like 90% of average. This year may draw our percents closer, thanks in part to the mid-Dec dump here.
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Same 2/5/9 - not often when we're both progged for the same 3 numbers. Tops is N.Conway with 3/7/10. Pit 2 has 2/6/8, PWM 3/7/8.
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If p-type is the issue, I'm even happier. When it's QPF, it's maybe - latitude is more often good than bad, but jackpots in south or central NH generally translate to 44.7 being too far north. Latest odds from GYX for Farmington are 2/5/9, a bit higher than this morning's 90/50/10% numbers. The spread between 90% and 10% says there's still considerable uncertainty.
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Unfortunately, the price of #2 is high enough that the mild wx merely limits the increased spending for heat. January is running +9.1 thru yesterday and by the end of the weekend it will probably be back to double digits AN. Mildest January here so far was +7.4 in 2006, so we're breaking new ground unless late month turns arctic.
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On the 4-6/3-4 boundary here. Seems like we're always on one of those boundaries according to the TV news maps.
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For snomo lovers, Moosetown Riders posted on FB a long string of pics taken, probably last Saturday, while grooming trails between Allagash and Estcourt after that area's 20"+ snowfall.
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Puzzling over the track that would produce that distribution. Upper GOM hard left like post-Christmas 1969? That's when many Maine stations had 12-20" SN followed by 3-6" RA while BTV had 30" and most of SNH had an ice storm.
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About 1/2" IP and now moderate ZR with poor accretion (thankfully). Precip started with temps low 20s, now 30+, and not a single snowflake. What an odd system.
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Every time I've taken LE from a purely sleet event, the ratio has been ~3:1. Reported 0.03" to cocorahs with trace accretion and a few pingers. Since then we've probably had twice the LE in ZR/IP with 0.1-0.2" of the pellets. Western edge effect. (Though some bright echoes are moving our way.)
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Back in the stone age (1971) I paid less than twice that ($22.50) for a Mon-Fri ski week with daily lessons at the old Glen Ellen.
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2" of dust at near-zero temp here. Thru the first week of February, we had yet to get a 4" event. Then 10th-11th broke the schneid with 21" and a bit of thunder. Clouds and low 30s hung tough here, though the clouds thinned enough for a brief rosy sunset.
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FVE had 1/2 mile vis in SN at 4 PM. The "20 inches in the SJV" had legs.
