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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. New years thread has been give. we watch for upside potential
  2. Models have been coming into a clearer signal for som light snows over the area for New Years Day. Very strong s/w diving south out of Canada. It’s pretty strung out now so the current system is models rather meager with the storm internsifying offshore. If we can can consolidate the energy better as it’s raining the base of the trough we have possibility of deeper development sooner. Something to watch. Currently this looks like a light event with areas further south and east.
  3. Happened on Sunday, so not due to ice. https://www.facebook.com/BlackMtnNH/
  4. Decent s/w but orientation is not so great for much amplification as the flow is pretty compressed. Amplification occurs offshore. It’s moisture starved to begin with. I would not expect much at this point other than some flurries. My hoped is downstream ULL can migrate back westward some to allow heights to build ahead. Big ask at this point.
  5. 29/20 here. Expect that brief period of icing that people won’t expect around these parts to cause some accidents. We spike tomorrow to 50F. Snow be gone
  6. Nice its been a slow start for majority of the alps for snow. The lone wolf has been the northwest portion in Italy. They were hammered about a week ago I believe.
  7. 00z HRRR hitting icing hard. Still long range for it but something to monitor.
  8. Let’s talk about impending ice storm. Feel likes it been awhile since we’ve had one in New England. Some models showing up to 0.50” up in C/NNE. Down in SNE, effects don’t; seem as bad but will impact travel. We will likely see power outages with winds expected as a strong cold front pushes through after this storm exits northeast. 3km 18z NAM
  9. Upcoming cutter sort of sets the stage for our new years potential. Storm sets of confluence to our north not allowing system to cut west. I see it as a clipper right now unless the upcoming storm retrogrades fast enough to to allow heights to build ahead of clipper.
  10. Time to ring in the new year with a new thread. December managed to produce an above average snowfall month for many. What does the new year bring? The patter looks active the first week with the potential for a clipper to start off and more larger synoptic scale events towards the end of the 1st week.
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