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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    12z skynet ensm going all in.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Looks like some fun in the extended range.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    GFS now outlier. solid Euro uptick. we take
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    Was gonna say. Radar looks damn good for CT right now.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    12z Ukie with the nasty gradient.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    People need to realize that the NWS is updating their maps on the fly. It may take them 6-8hrs to digest modeling and update appropriately. I saw no issues with that graphic earlier this AM. They issue those based upon level of confidence. Got a peak at the rest of 12z guidance, save for Ukie and Euro sweets. Some beefy solutions in them. Looks like the 12a GFS op and 12z GEFS are now on the eastern edge of guidance.
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    In GFS/GEFS/Euro/EPS we confide and those all looked solid at 06z.
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    But an improvement from 06z and 00z last night.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    And for those you like to see. 09z SREFs. 24hr mean QPF. A solid uptick from the 03z run and worlds different from 21z run last night.
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    I was thinking more on the lines of getting the MLs more organized a bit sooner. That would do wonders.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    Ray somehow manages to be in the screw zone.
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    As we noticed last night. Nice to see that being there still. Other guidance also is showing that.
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    That’s a solid hit on nammy. Looks like verbatim it comes in 2 pulses. The initial WAA followed by the ML centers passing by.
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    Ninja’s me
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    Early 12z NAM 5h looking promising.
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    TB12 prepping the tripod.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    Health check. Where’s Steve been?
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    I’m not typically the optimist but I do think this will come in more favorably at 12z. There has been some subtle changes that I’ve noticed. Slightly better ridging ahead of system as well as some weakness between the systems to the north. We are also see an overall strengthening of the system, which also assists with pumping up those heights ahead of system.
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    Getting some nice overall concensus now amongst all models. Solid event coming.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    Pretty sizable shift on 00Z GEFS. Advisory snows in SEMA.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    Was the furthest west model, so not surprising.
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    ICON not as robust with the vorticity but definitely made a positive trend from 18z.
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    Could we also be seeing some latent heat release out of the gulf? This thing is forming a low down there.
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah, she comin in hot too.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    Time for some blood-letting to the gods.
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