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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    I’m not typically the optimist but I do think this will come in more favorably at 12z. There has been some subtle changes that I’ve noticed. Slightly better ridging ahead of system as well as some weakness between the systems to the north. We are also see an overall strengthening of the system, which also assists with pumping up those heights ahead of system.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Getting some nice overall concensus now amongst all models. Solid event coming.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    Pretty sizable shift on 00Z GEFS. Advisory snows in SEMA.
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    Was the furthest west model, so not surprising.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    ICON not as robust with the vorticity but definitely made a positive trend from 18z.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    Could we also be seeing some latent heat release out of the gulf? This thing is forming a low down there.
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah, she comin in hot too.
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    Time for some blood-letting to the gods.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    Does the roofus have 500mb vorticity graphics?
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    It is a delicate setup no doubt. See what the rest of guidance does.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    NAM is showing like 0.4-0.5”. Yeah solid advisory.
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    Made a comment about this yesterday I believe. If that kicker trajectory is steeper, it should allow our storm to amplify some more.
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    That was a huge shift by NAM. Wetter than GFS and Euro.
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    Nice hit here
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah, nice curl to that vorticity. Heights also higher over us. should bode well
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    I have not had the pleasure of skiing there. I think there was a ski trip while in HS that I missed that did go. At least for me growing up, it was always brought up as one of the better mountains for advanced terrain. I’m just looking to get back out there after more than a decade. Start slow and work back into it. Hopefully the ma nature is kind and drops the goods over the next 2.5 weeks.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    Ima call that model Roofies.
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    That’s funny. My first storm lurking the old EUSWx site was the January 2005 blizzard.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    630 AFD. Even BOX unsure with AI models
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    Seems like op euro and eps are the lone outliers at this point to a moderate impact event. Skynet is more in line with rest of guidance. Solid overnight 12hr trend in the positive.
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    00z GEFS wetter than 00z op run. Advisory level into SE areas.
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    One thing to monitor is that “kicker” If it comes in at a steeper trajectory that could broaden the trough and allow the lead wave to curl more northerly.
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    Gfs is virtually same as 18z.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    In reggie we trust
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