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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    Ima call that model Roofies.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    That’s funny. My first storm lurking the old EUSWx site was the January 2005 blizzard.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    630 AFD. Even BOX unsure with AI models
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    Seems like op euro and eps are the lone outliers at this point to a moderate impact event. Skynet is more in line with rest of guidance. Solid overnight 12hr trend in the positive.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    00z GEFS wetter than 00z op run. Advisory level into SE areas.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    One thing to monitor is that “kicker” If it comes in at a steeper trajectory that could broaden the trough and allow the lead wave to curl more northerly.
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    Gfs is virtually same as 18z.
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    In reggie we trust
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    BOX did that as well. Musta come from NWS to change AFD language?
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    Will be heading to Magic Mt on Feb 4th for a corporate outing.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    Fyp
  12. Baroclinic Zone
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    Glad I got a good nights sleep. 06z runs look tame to nothing.
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    High of 53F here.
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    Add another 7 days to that. We’re on to late January now.
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Green grass and high tides forever.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah, I’ve been keeping an eye on that lead wave, seeing if it progresses any faster. I’m also watching to see how our trailer threat amplifies. If that digs deeper sooner, we can create just enough wave spacing for flow to curl back around.
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    My focus has been on the ULL and energy south of that that curls up into it.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    18z GFS on the board. That lead wave clears out and our trailer has more space to dig and tilt negatively. Allows easterly flow to kick in. Nice solid event verbatim.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    The whole thread was started in jest.
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    Dampen out that southern swinging energy or curl it in sooner and I think we have a solid event here. if southern stream remains strong and separated from the northern ULL than we cloudy skies here with maybe some light snows.
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    Is that what your wife says?
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    Wow, stark differences.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    That’s my fear. That southern stream escapes east and amplifies before our ULL is able to drop in and capture it. Pulls the entire baro zone offshore not allowing our storm to mature soon enough. Everything is more positively tilted vs that southern energy curling back in.
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