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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Looks like for my area, 950mb level tickles 0C at its warmest
  2. It’s really coming down to intensity and how mid-levels act. Euro is just a bit more organized, mitigating any warm air intrusion beyond the south coast, while the GFS brings that further inland about 30 miles.
  3. 18z GEFS more spread at 12z Tuesday but more consolidate by 18z Tuesday.
  4. Last 5-6 model cycles, the trend has been for a flatter solution. Does not mean that holds or continues. We have seen countless times where we see those last 24-48hrs where things come in more amplified.
  5. GFS has been quick to take that s/w and push it further north over upper Midwest while euro is a bit slower and has s/w further south.
  6. Thanks for putting my earlier comment into a more detailed response.
  7. GFS has not performed well. I feel it’s been too amplified.
  8. I wonder how modeling is handling the NAO flip. How much feedback is there. Shunting storm further S.
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