21z HRRR was nuts here. Shows 9" of rain to fall. The HRRR runs are getting more robust with rain rather than backing down.
edited for correct model run
I was taken by surprise on the start time. I thought it was supposed to hold off till after sunset today for my area. Started around 10am. Not much has fallen but it ruined a solid day of work for my GC.
At least not around here. Disconcerting to say the least when you have consensus across models for a huge rain event. Likely the high ends are wrong but you never can rule out with a storm of tropical origins.